mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

PROBE: Co-Balancing Computation and Communication in MoE Inference via Real-Time Predictive Prefetching

arXiv 2602.00509 ↗First posted 31 Jan 2026cs.DCcited by 4

On the map: Mixture-of-experts → Efficient MoE training and inference systems

Abstract (arXiv)

Mixture-of-Experts models have become a dominant architecture for scaling Large Language Models by activating only a sparse subset of experts per token. However, latency-critical MoE inference faces a fundamental tension: while expert parallelism improves memory efficiency, it also amplifies execution stragglers. In real-world serving, continuous batching and diverse concurrent requests induce rapid semantic shifts, causing expert hotspots to migrate abruptly across GPUs and triggering the 'double penalty' of coupled computational skew and network congestion. We propose PROBE, an inference system that co-balances computation and communication in real time. PROBE introduces Continuous Lookahead Pipelining, which proactively predicts, plans, and prefetches for upcoming layers while keeping all control overheads off the critical path. PROBE consists of: (1) a Gate-Initialized Lookahead Predictor that distills the target router to forecast next-layer expert activation with high fidelity; (2) a Hardware-Aware Balance Planning solver that jointly optimizes dynamic expert replication and token assignment under strict hiding-window constraints; and (3) a Phase-Locked Co-Scheduling policy that uses split-phase transmission to hide bandwidth-intensive expert transfers behind computation without contending with All-to-All collectives. Experiments show that PROBE reduces prefill latency by up to 1.32X and improves decoding throughput by up to 1.26X over state-of-the-art baselines, especially under extreme workload volatility.

Key facts. Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Efficient MoE training and inference systems, one of 12 directions in Mixture-of-experts. Builds on 24 of its 48 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 31 Jan 2026.

Builds on

24 of 48 references.

Closest ancestors · 8

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2025SonicMoE: Accelerating MoE with IO and Tile-aware Optimizations16 Dec
  2. 2025GRACE-MoE: Grouping and Replication with Locality-Aware Routing for Efficient Distributed MoE Inference29 Sep
  3. 2025Step-3 is Large yet Affordable: Model-system Co-design for Cost-effective Decoding25 Jul
  4. 2025HarMoEny: Efficient Multi-GPU Inference of MoE Models14 Jun
  5. 2025MegaScale-Infer: Serving Mixture-of-Experts at Scale with Disaggregated Expert Parallelism3 Apr
  6. 2025Advancing MoE Efficiency: A Collaboration-Constrained Routing (C2R) Strategy for Better Expert Parallelism Design2 Apr
  7. 2025Semantic Parallelism: Redefining Efficient MoE Inference via Model-Data Co-Scheduling6 Mar
  8. 2025Demons in the Detail: On Implementing Load Balancing Loss for Training Specialized Mixture-of-Expert Models21 Jan

Other references · 16

  1. 2023GPT-4 Technical Reportcited by 18,132
  2. 2025Qwen3 Technical Reportcited by 8,195
  3. 2020Scaling Laws for Neural Language Modelscited by 6,411
  4. 2025Gemini 2.5: Pushing the Frontier with Advanced Reasoning, Multimodality, Long Context, and Next Generation Agentic Capabilitiescited by 3,655
  5. 2024Mixtral of Expertscited by 1,785
  6. 2025gpt-oss-120b & gpt-oss-20b Model Cardcited by 1,258
  7. 2024DeepSeekMoE: Towards Ultimate Expert Specialization in Mixture-of-Experts Language Modelscited by 834
  8. 2025DeepSeek-V3.2: Pushing the Frontier of Open Large Language Modelscited by 755
  9. 2024DeepSeek-V3 Technical Reportcited by 724
  10. 2023Instruction Tuning with GPT-4cited by 676
  11. 2025Kimi K2: Open Agentic Intelligencecited by 523
  12. 2025EAGLE-3: Scaling up Inference Acceleration of Large Language Models via Training-Time Testcited by 318
4 more
  1. 2024Auxiliary-Loss-Free Load Balancing Strategy for Mixture-of-Expertscited by 191
  2. 2024OpenMoE: An Early Effort on Open Mixture-of-Experts Language Modelscited by 185
  3. 2025Advancing Expert Specialization for Better MoEcited by 37
  4. 2024BlendServe: Optimizing Offline Inference for Auto-regressive Large Models with Resource-aware Batchingcited by 19

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 4.

4 papers.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2026Fast MoE Inference via Predictive Prefetching and Expert Replication
  2. 2025ExpertFlow: Adaptive Expert Scheduling and Memory Coordination for Efficient MoE Inference
  3. 2026Beyond Uniform Experts: Cost-Aware Expert Execution for Efficient Multi-Device MoE Inference
  4. 2026EasyBalance: Cross-Layer Load Balancing in Distributed MoE Inference
  5. 2025SP-MoE: Speculative Decoding and Prefetching for Accelerating MoE-based Model Inference
  6. 2025Accelerating MoE Model Inference with Expert Sharding
  7. 2026Communication-Aware Placement and Pruning for Efficient Mixture-of-Experts Inference
  8. 2025OD-MoE: On-Demand Expert Loading for Cacheless Edge-Distributed MoE Inference