PROBE: Co-Balancing Computation and Communication in MoE Inference via Real-Time Predictive Prefetching
On the map: Mixture-of-experts → Efficient MoE training and inference systems
Abstract (arXiv)
Mixture-of-Experts models have become a dominant architecture for scaling Large Language Models by activating only a sparse subset of experts per token. However, latency-critical MoE inference faces a fundamental tension: while expert parallelism improves memory efficiency, it also amplifies execution stragglers. In real-world serving, continuous batching and diverse concurrent requests induce rapid semantic shifts, causing expert hotspots to migrate abruptly across GPUs and triggering the 'double penalty' of coupled computational skew and network congestion. We propose PROBE, an inference system that co-balances computation and communication in real time. PROBE introduces Continuous Lookahead Pipelining, which proactively predicts, plans, and prefetches for upcoming layers while keeping all control overheads off the critical path. PROBE consists of: (1) a Gate-Initialized Lookahead Predictor that distills the target router to forecast next-layer expert activation with high fidelity; (2) a Hardware-Aware Balance Planning solver that jointly optimizes dynamic expert replication and token assignment under strict hiding-window constraints; and (3) a Phase-Locked Co-Scheduling policy that uses split-phase transmission to hide bandwidth-intensive expert transfers behind computation without contending with All-to-All collectives. Experiments show that PROBE reduces prefill latency by up to 1.32X and improves decoding throughput by up to 1.26X over state-of-the-art baselines, especially under extreme workload volatility.
Key facts. Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Efficient MoE training and inference systems, one of 12 directions in Mixture-of-experts. Builds on 24 of its 48 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 31 Jan 2026.
Builds on
24 of 48 references.
Closest ancestors · 8
Same direction, newest first
- 2025SonicMoE: Accelerating MoE with IO and Tile-aware Optimizations16 Dec
- 2025GRACE-MoE: Grouping and Replication with Locality-Aware Routing for Efficient Distributed MoE Inference29 Sep
- 2025Step-3 is Large yet Affordable: Model-system Co-design for Cost-effective Decoding25 Jul
- 2025HarMoEny: Efficient Multi-GPU Inference of MoE Models14 Jun
- 2025MegaScale-Infer: Serving Mixture-of-Experts at Scale with Disaggregated Expert Parallelism3 Apr
- 2025Advancing MoE Efficiency: A Collaboration-Constrained Routing (C2R) Strategy for Better Expert Parallelism Design2 Apr
- 2025Semantic Parallelism: Redefining Efficient MoE Inference via Model-Data Co-Scheduling6 Mar
- 2025Demons in the Detail: On Implementing Load Balancing Loss for Training Specialized Mixture-of-Expert Models21 Jan
Other references · 16
- 2023GPT-4 Technical Reportcited by 18,132
- 2025Qwen3 Technical Reportcited by 8,195
- 2020Scaling Laws for Neural Language Modelscited by 6,411
- 2025Gemini 2.5: Pushing the Frontier with Advanced Reasoning, Multimodality, Long Context, and Next Generation Agentic Capabilitiescited by 3,655
- 2024Mixtral of Expertscited by 1,785
- 2025gpt-oss-120b & gpt-oss-20b Model Cardcited by 1,258
- 2024DeepSeekMoE: Towards Ultimate Expert Specialization in Mixture-of-Experts Language Modelscited by 834
- 2025DeepSeek-V3.2: Pushing the Frontier of Open Large Language Modelscited by 755
- 2024DeepSeek-V3 Technical Reportcited by 724
- 2023Instruction Tuning with GPT-4cited by 676
- 2025Kimi K2: Open Agentic Intelligencecited by 523
- 2025EAGLE-3: Scaling up Inference Acceleration of Large Language Models via Training-Time Testcited by 318
4 more
- 2024Auxiliary-Loss-Free Load Balancing Strategy for Mixture-of-Expertscited by 191
- 2024OpenMoE: An Early Effort on Open Mixture-of-Experts Language Modelscited by 185
- 2025Advancing Expert Specialization for Better MoEcited by 37
- 2024BlendServe: Optimizing Offline Inference for Auto-regressive Large Models with Resource-aware Batchingcited by 19
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 4.
4 papers.
- 2026UltraEP: Unleash MoE Training and Inference on Rack-Scale Nodes with Near-Optimal Load Balancingcited by 8
- 2026OrderMoE: An expert similarity driven distributed edge MoE inferencecited by 3
- 2026HCRMap: Pressure-Aware Hot-Expert Residency Mapping for 3.5D MoE Chiplet Inferencecited by 0
- 2026TrimMoE A communication aware and adaptive depth framework for distributed edge inferencecited by 0
- 2026TrimMoE A communication aware and adaptive depth framework for distributed edge inference1 Aug 2026
- 2026OrderMoE: An expert similarity driven distributed edge MoE inference19 Jul 2026
- 2026HCRMap: Pressure-Aware Hot-Expert Residency Mapping for 3.5D MoE Chiplet Inference13 Jul 2026
- 2026UltraEP: Unleash MoE Training and Inference on Rack-Scale Nodes with Near-Optimal Load Balancing2 Jun 2026
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2026Fast MoE Inference via Predictive Prefetching and Expert Replication
- 2025ExpertFlow: Adaptive Expert Scheduling and Memory Coordination for Efficient MoE Inference
- 2026Beyond Uniform Experts: Cost-Aware Expert Execution for Efficient Multi-Device MoE Inference
- 2026EasyBalance: Cross-Layer Load Balancing in Distributed MoE Inference
- 2025SP-MoE: Speculative Decoding and Prefetching for Accelerating MoE-based Model Inference
- 2025Accelerating MoE Model Inference with Expert Sharding
- 2026Communication-Aware Placement and Pruning for Efficient Mixture-of-Experts Inference
- 2025OD-MoE: On-Demand Expert Loading for Cacheless Edge-Distributed MoE Inference