Robust SDE Parameter Estimation Under Missing Time Information Setting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Recent advances in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have enabled robust modeling of real-world dynamical processes across diverse domains, such as finance, health, and systems biology. However, parameter estimation for SDEs typically relies on accurately timestamped observational sequences. When temporal ordering information is corrupted, missing, or deliberately hidden (e.g., for privacy), existing estimation methods often fail. In this paper, we investigate the conditions under which temporal order can be recovered and introduce a novel framework that simultaneously reconstructs temporal information and estimates SDE parameters. Our approach exploits asymmetries between forward and backward processes, deriving a score-matching criterion to infer the correct temporal order between pairs of observations. We then recover the total order via a sorting procedure and estimate SDE parameters from the reconstructed sequence using maximum likelihood. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets to demonstrate the effectiveness of our method, extending parameter estimation to settings with missing temporal order and broadening applicability in sensitive domains.
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References · 11
- 2020Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Modelscited by 21,076
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- 2015Deep Unsupervised Learning using Nonequilibrium Thermodynamicscited by 7,058
- 2020Estimating Counterfactual Treatment Outcomes over Time Through Adversarially Balanced Representationscited by 155
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- 2021Integrating Expert ODEs into Neural ODEs: Pharmacology and Disease Progressioncited by 48
- 2025h-Edit: Effective and Flexible Diffusion-Based Editing via Doob's h-Transformcited by 19
- 2024Partially Observed Trajectory Inference using Optimal Transport and a Dynamics Priorcited by 13
- 2024Identifying Drift, Diffusion, and Causal Structure from Temporal Snapshotscited by 13
- 2024ODE Discovery for Longitudinal Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Inferencecited by 12
- 2023Parameter estimation from an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with measurement noisecited by 4
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