EviNAM: Intelligibility and Uncertainty via Evidential Neural Additive Models
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Abstract (arXiv)
Intelligibility and accurate uncertainty estimation are crucial for reliable decision-making. In this paper, we propose EviNAM, an extension of evidential learning that integrates the interpretability of Neural Additive Models (NAMs) with principled uncertainty estimation. Unlike standard Bayesian neural networks and previous evidential methods, EviNAM enables, in a single pass, both the estimation of the aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty as well as explicit feature contributions. Experiments on synthetic and real data demonstrate that EviNAM matches state-of-the-art predictive performance. While we focus on regression, our method extends naturally to classification and generalized additive models, offering a path toward more intelligible and trustworthy predictions.
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References · 19
- 2017A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictionscited by 6,488
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- 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,888
- 2019Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Machine Learning: An Introduction to Concepts and Methodscited by 903
- 2018Evidential Deep Learning to Quantify Classification Uncertaintycited by 728
- 2021A Survey of Uncertainty in Deep Neural Networkscited by 675
- 2019Deep Evidential Regressioncited by 354
- 2020Neural Additive Models: Interpretable Machine Learning with Neural Netscited by 318
- 2020A Survey on Neural Network Interpretabilitycited by 291
- 2019InterpretML: A Unified Framework for Machine Learning Interpretabilitycited by 243
- 2017OpenML Benchmarking Suitescited by 169
- 2021NODE-GAM: Neural Generalized Additive Model for Interpretable Deep Learningcited by 88
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- 2022Pitfalls of Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification through Loss Minimisationcited by 65
- 2022The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Deep Evidential Regressioncited by 40
- 2022Sparse Interaction Additive Networks via Feature Interaction Detection and Sparse Selectioncited by 28
- 2023Neural Additive Models for Location Scale and Shape: A Framework for Interpretable Neural Regression Beyond the Meancited by 18
- 2023Improving Neural Additive Models with Bayesian Principlescited by 15
- 2022Higher-order Neural Additive Models: An Interpretable Machine Learning Model with Feature Interactionscited by 7
- 2025Beyond Black-Box Predictions: Identifying Marginal Feature Effects in Tabular Transformer Networkscited by 2
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