mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Counterfactual Self-Questioning for Stable Policy Optimization in Language Models

arXiv 2601.00885 ↗First posted 31 Dec 2025cs.AIcited by 0

On the map: Synthetic data and self-improvement for LLMs → Synthetic reasoning data and bootstrapping

Abstract (arXiv)

Recent work on language model self-improvement shows that models can refine their own reasoning through reflection, verification, debate, or self-generated rewards. However, most existing approaches rely on external critics, learned reward models, or ensemble sampling, which increases complexity and training instability. We propose Counterfactual Self-Questioning, a framework in which a single language model generates and evaluates counterfactual critiques of its own reasoning. The method produces an initial reasoning trace, formulates targeted questions that challenge potential failure points, and generates alternative reasoning trajectories that expose incorrect assumptions or invalid steps. These counterfactual trajectories provide structured relative feedback that can be directly used for policy optimization without auxiliary models. Experiments on multiple mathematical reasoning benchmarks show that counterfactual self-questioning improves accuracy and training stability, particularly for smaller models, enabling scalable self-improvement using internally generated supervision alone.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Synthetic reasoning data and bootstrapping, one of 13 directions in Synthetic data and self-improvement for LLMs. Builds on 13 of its 19 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 31 Dec 2025.

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13 of 19 references.

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  1. 2022STaR: Bootstrapping Reasoning With Reasoning28 Mar

Other references · 12

  1. 2022Training language models to follow instructions with human feedbackcited by 15,971
  2. 2017Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithmscited by 15,215
  3. 2022Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Modelscited by 12,459
  4. 2021Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problemscited by 10,109
  5. 2020Scaling Laws for Neural Language Modelscited by 6,586
  6. 2022Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 5,708
  7. 2021Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Datasetcited by 5,371
  8. 2023Let's Verify Step by Stepcited by 3,789
  9. 2022Constitutional AI: Harmlessness from AI Feedbackcited by 3,050
  10. 2022Solving Quantitative Reasoning Problems with Language Modelscited by 1,392
  11. 2024Self-Rewarding Language Modelscited by 681
  12. 2023Chain-of-Verification Reduces Hallucination in Large Language Modelscited by 324

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  4. 2026Not All Tokens Deserve Equal Credit: Counterfactual Sensitivity Credit Reallocation for Long-CoT Reasoning
  5. 2026Improving reasoning at inference time via uncertainty minimisation
  6. 2024Reasoning Elicitation in Language Models via Counterfactual Feedback
  7. 2023CLOMO: Counterfactual Logical Modification with Large Language Models
  8. 2026The Role of Feedback Alignment in Self-Distillation