mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Market-Bench: Evaluating Large Language Models on Introductory Quantitative Trading and Market Dynamics

arXiv 2512.12264 ↗First posted 13 Dec 2025cs.CLcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

We introduce MARKET-BENCH, a benchmark that evaluates large language models (LLMs) on introductory quantitative trading tasks by asking them to construct executable backtesters from natural language strategy descriptions and market assumptions. Each instance specifies one of three canonical strategies: scheduled trading on Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), pairs trading on Coca-Cola (NASDAQ: KO) and Pepsi (NASDAQ: PEP), or delta hedging on MSFT. Models must produce code whose profit and loss (P and L), drawdown, and position paths match a verifiable reference implementation. We assess thirteen state-of-the-art models using a multi-round evaluation that separates structural reliability (whether the backtest runs) from numerical accuracy (mean absolute error of the backtest metrics), assigning failed outputs a duplicated-metrics baseline MAE. While most models reliably execute the simplest strategy (average executable passes of 4.08 out of 5 rounds), errors vary by orders of magnitude across models and tasks. Gemini 3 Pro and Claude 4.5 Sonnet combine strong reliability with low error on simpler strategies. GPT-5.2 achieves strong overall performance with perfect executability. GPT-5.1 Codex-Max achieves the lowest best-run error on the easiest task. Qwen3 Max attains perfect executability yet sometimes produces inaccurate profit and loss paths. These results show that current LLMs can scaffold basic trading infrastructure but still struggle to reason robustly about prices, inventory, and risk. We release MARKET-BENCH and a public leaderboard at https://marketbench.ai.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 13 of its 13 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 13 Dec 2025.

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13 of 13 references.

References · 13

  1. 2021Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Codecited by 8,320
  2. 2021Program Synthesis with Large Language Modelscited by 3,637
  3. 2023SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-World GitHub Issues?cited by 3,373
  4. 2023BloombergGPT: A Large Language Model for Financecited by 939
  5. 2022DS-1000: A Natural and Reliable Benchmark for Data Science Code Generationcited by 452
  6. 2023FinGPT: Open-Source Financial Large Language Modelscited by 253
  7. 2023PIXIU: A Large Language Model, Instruction Data and Evaluation Benchmark for Financecited by 222
  8. 2024FinBen: A Holistic Financial Benchmark for Large Language Modelscited by 141
  9. 2024Open-FinLLMs: Open Multimodal Large Language Models for Financial Applicationscited by 36
  10. 2025BizFinBench: A Business-Driven Real-World Financial Benchmark for Evaluating LLMscited by 22
  11. 2025FinanceQA: A Benchmark for Evaluating Financial Analysis Capabilities of Large Language Modelscited by 19
  12. 2024CFinBench: A Comprehensive Chinese Financial Benchmark for Large Language Modelscited by 12
1 more
  1. 2025FinEval-KR: A Financial Domain Evaluation Framework for Large Language Models' Knowledge and Reasoningcited by 2

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