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The future of AI in critical mineral exploration

arXiv 2512.02879 ↗First posted 2 Dec 2025cs.AIcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

The energy transition through increased electrification has put the worlds attention on critical mineral exploration Even with increased investments a decrease in new discoveries has taken place over the last two decades Here I propose a solution to this problem where AI is implemented as the enabler of a rigorous scientific method for mineral exploration that aims to reduce cognitive bias and false positives drive down the cost of exploration I propose a new scientific method that is based on a philosophical approach founded on the principles of Bayesianism and falsification In this approach data acquisition is in the first place seen as a means to falsify human generated hypothesis Decision of what data to acquire next is quantified with verifiable metrics and based on rational decision making A practical protocol is provided that can be used as a template in any exploration campaign However in order to make this protocol practical various form of artificial intelligence are needed I will argue that the most important form are one novel unsupervised learning methods that collaborate with domain experts to better understand data and generate multiple competing geological hypotheses and two humanintheloop AI algorithms that can optimally plan various geological geophysical geochemical and drilling data acquisition where uncertainty reduction of geological hypothesis precedes the uncertainty reduction on grade and tonnage

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 4 of its 20 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Dec 2025.

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4 of 20 references.

References · 4

  1. 2017Training-image based geostatistical inversion using a spatial generative adversarial neural networkcited by 31
  2. 2017Inversion using a new low-dimensional representation of complex binary geological media based on a deep neural networkcited by 24
  3. 2018Reduced order modeling of subsurface multiphase flow models using deep residual recurrent neural networkscited by 9
  4. 2022Deep reinforcement learning for optimal well control in subsurface systems with uncertain geologycited by 9

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