Maxitive Donsker-Varadhan Formulation for Possibilistic Variational Inference
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
Variational inference (VI) is a cornerstone of modern Bayesian learning, enabling approximate inference in complex models. However, its formulation depends on expectations and divergences defined through high-dimensional integrals, often rendering analytical treatment impossible and necessitating heavy reliance on approximations. Possibility theory, an imprecise probability framework, allows us to directly model epistemic uncertainty instead of relying on a subjective interpretation of probabilities. While this framework provides robustness and interpretability under sparse or imprecise information, adapting VI to the possibilistic setting requires rethinking core concepts such as divergences, which presuppose additivity. In this work, we develop a principled formulation for performing possibilistic VI by establishing a maxitive analogue of the classical Donsker-Varadhan formulation. The resulting framework enables us to derive a learning rule for possibilistic VI with exponential-family candidates and practical update rules for neural-network training, giving rise to a family of optimizers termed CBOpt. Finally, we demonstrate that CBOpt achieves competitive performance on both in-domain and out-of-domain image classification tasks.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 28 of its 58 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 26 Nov 2025.
Builds on
28 of 58 references.
References · 28
- 2014Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimizationcited by 37,240
- 2015Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 4,448
- 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,926
- 2016Variational Inference: A Review for Statisticianscited by 1,472
- 2018Evidential Deep Learning to Quantify Classification Uncertaintycited by 732
- 2019A Simple Baseline for Bayesian Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 560
- 2018Predictive Uncertainty Estimation via Prior Networkscited by 557
- 2015Variational Dropout and the Local Reparameterization Trickcited by 490
- 2021Laplace Redux -- Effortless Bayesian Deep Learningcited by 365
- 2020Posterior Network: Uncertainty Estimation without OOD Samples via Density-Based Pseudo-Countscited by 164
- 2018Fast and Scalable Bayesian Deep Learning by Weight-Perturbation in Adamcited by 131
- 2016R'enyi Divergence Variational Inferencecited by 104
16 more
- 2021The Bayesian Learning Rulecited by 99
- 2019DropConnect Is Effective in Modeling Uncertainty of Bayesian Deep Networkscited by 92
- 2017Bayesian Hypernetworkscited by 66
- 2022Pitfalls of Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification through Loss Minimisationcited by 66
- 2024Variational Learning is Effective for Large Deep Networkscited by 65
- 2023Uncertainty Estimation by Fisher Information-based Evidential Deep Learningcited by 58
- 2023Tractable Function-Space Variational Inference in Bayesian Neural Networkscited by 41
- 2024Credal Learning Theorycited by 31
- 2019Validated Variational Inference via Practical Posterior Error Boundscited by 26
- 2020Notes on the Behavior of MC Dropoutcited by 23
- 2025Integral Imprecise Probability Metricscited by 11
- 2025Uncertainty Estimation by Flexible Evidential Deep Learningcited by 10
- 2025Credal Prediction based on Relative Likelihoodcited by 8
- 2025Possibilistic inferential models: a reviewcited by 2
- 2022Robust Bayesian inference in complex models with possibility theorycited by 1
- 2024Computationally efficient variational-like approximations of possibilistic inferential modelscited by 1
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.
1 paper.
- 2026Possibilistic Predictive Uncertainty for Deep Learningcited by 0
- 2026Possibilistic Predictive Uncertainty for Deep Learning1 May 2026