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TSFM in-context learning for time-series classification of bearing-health status

arXiv 2511.15447 ↗First posted 19 Nov 2025cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

We introduce a classification method based on in-context learning using time-series foundation models (TSFMs). We demonstrate how data not included in the TSFM training can be classified without fine-tuning the foundation model or training a traditional classification model. Examples are represented as targets (class labels) and covariates (data matrices) within the TSFM prompt, enabling the classification of unknown covariate data patterns alongside the forecast horizon through in-context learning. We apply this method to vibration data to assess the health state of a bearing within a servo-press motor. The method transforms frequency-domain reference signals into pseudo time-series patterns, generates aligned covariate and target signals, and uses the TSFM to predict class-membership probabilities for predefined labels. Leveraging the scalability of pre-trained models, the proposed method demonstrates effectiveness across varying operational conditions. This represents significant progress beyond traditional, custom AI solutions towards broader AI-driven maintenance systems that could potentially be provided as Model- or Software-as-a-Service applications.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 5 of its 9 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 19 Nov 2025.

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References · 5

  1. 2023A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecastingcited by 692
  2. 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 614
  3. 2024Foundation Models for Time Series Analysis: A Tutorial and Surveycited by 239
  4. 2025Chronos-2: From Univariate to Universal Forecastingcited by 194
  5. 2025Pre-trained Forecasting Models: Strong Zero-Shot Feature Extractors for Time Series Classificationcited by 9

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