BondBERT: What we learn when assigning sentiment in the bond market
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Abstract (arXiv)
Bond markets respond differently to macroeconomic news compared to equity markets, yet most sentiment models are trained primarily on general financial or equity news data. However, bond prices often move in the opposite direction to economic optimism, making general or equity-based sentiment tools potentially misleading. We introduce BondBERT, a transformer-based language model fine-tuned on bond-specific news. BondBERT can act as the perception and reasoning component of a financial decision-support agent, providing sentiment signals that integrate with forecasting models. We propose a generalisable framework for adapting transformers to low-volatility, domain-inverse sentiment tasks by compiling and cleaning 30,000 UK bond market articles (2018-2025). BondBERT's sentiment predictions are compared against FinBERT, FinGPT, and Instruct-FinGPT using event-based correlation, up/down accuracy analyses, and LSTM forecasting across ten UK sovereign bonds. We find that BondBERT consistently produces positive correlations with bond returns, and achieves higher alignment and forecasting accuracy than the three baseline models. These results demonstrate that domain-specific sentiment adaptation better captures fixed income dynamics, bridging a gap between NLP advances and bond market analytics.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 12 of its 42 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 21 Oct 2025.
Builds on
12 of 42 references.
References · 12
- 2019FinBERT: Financial Sentiment Analysis with Pre-trained Language Modelscited by 378
- 2013Good Debt or Bad Debt: Detecting Semantic Orientations in Economic Textscited by 310
- 2023FinGPT: Open-Source Financial Large Language Modelscited by 244
- 2023Large Language Models in Finance: A Surveycited by 223
- 2020FinBERT: A Pretrained Language Model for Financial Communicationscited by 161
- 2023FinGPT: Instruction Tuning Benchmark for Open-Source Large Language Models in Financial Datasetscited by 68
- 2023FinGPT: Democratizing Internet-scale Data for Financial Large Language Modelscited by 65
- 2023Instruct-FinGPT: Financial Sentiment Analysis by Instruction Tuning of General-Purpose Large Language Modelscited by 58
- 2024Predicting Stock Prices with FinBERT-LSTM: Integrating News Sentiment Analysiscited by 15
- 2024Artificial Intelligence for Collective Intelligence: A National-Scale Research Strategycited by 4
- 2024FinGPT: Enhancing Sentiment-Based Stock Movement Prediction with Dissemination-Aware and Context-Enriched LLMscited by 3
- 2025Dynamic Asset Pricing: Integrating FinBERT-Based Sentiment Quantification with the Fama--French Five-Factor Modelcited by 1
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.
1 paper.