Cross-Treatment Effect Estimation for Multi-Category, Multi-Valued Causal Inference via Dynamic Neural Masking
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Abstract (arXiv)
Counterfactual causal inference faces significant challenges when extended to multi-category, multi-valued treatments, where complex cross-effects between heterogeneous interventions are difficult to model. Existing methodologies remain constrained to binary or single-type treatments and suffer from restrictive assumptions, limited scalability, and inadequate evaluation frameworks for complex intervention scenarios. We present XTNet, a novel network architecture for multi-category, multi-valued treatment effect estimation. Our approach introduces a cross-effect estimation module with dynamic masking mechanisms to capture treatment interactions without restrictive structural assumptions. The architecture employs a decomposition strategy separating basic effects from cross-treatment interactions, enabling efficient modeling of combinatorial treatment spaces. We also propose MCMV-AUCC, a suitable evaluation metric that accounts for treatment costs and interaction effects. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that XTNet consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in both ranking accuracy and effect estimation quality. The results of the real-world A/B test further confirm its effectiveness.
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References · 7
- 2015Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forestscited by 597
- 2016Learning Representations for Counterfactual Inferencecited by 327
- 2015Recursive Partitioning for Heterogeneous Causal Effectscited by 254
- 2018Perfect Match: A Simple Method for Learning Representations For Counterfactual Inference With Neural Networkscited by 55
- 2021NCoRE: Neural Counterfactual Representation Learning for Combinations of Treatmentscited by 14
- 2024M3TN: Multi-gate Mixture-of-Experts based Multi-valued Treatment Network for Uplift Modelingcited by 6
- 2024A Multi-class Ride-hailing Service Subsidy System Utilizing Deep Causal Networkscited by 1
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