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Distributionally Robust Control with End-to-End Statistically Guaranteed Metric Learning

arXiv 2510.10214 ↗First posted 11 Oct 2025math.OC cs.AI cs.SYcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Wasserstein distributionally robust control (DRC) recently emerges as a principled paradigm for handling uncertainty in stochastic dynamical systems. However, it constructs data-driven ambiguity sets via uniform distribution shifts before sequentially incorporating them into downstream control synthesis. This segregation between ambiguity set construction and control objectives inherently introduces a structural misalignment, which undesirably leads to conservative control policies with sub-optimal performance. To address this limitation, we propose a novel end-to-end finite-horizon Wasserstein DRC framework that integrates the learning of anisotropic Wasserstein metrics with downstream control tasks in a closed-loop manner, thus enabling ambiguity sets to be systematically adjusted along performance-critical directions and yielding more effective control policies. This framework is formulated as a bilevel program: the inner level characterizes dynamical system evolution under DRC, while the outer level refines the anisotropic metric leveraging control-performance feedback across a range of initial conditions. To solve this program efficiently, we develop a stochastic augmented Lagrangian algorithm tailored to the bilevel structure. Theoretically, we prove that the learned ambiguity sets preserve statistical finite-sample guarantees under a novel radius adjustment mechanism, and we establish the well-posedness of the bilevel formulation by demonstrating its continuity with respect to the learnable metric. Furthermore, we show that the algorithm converges to stationary points of the outer level problem, which are statistically consistent with the optimal metric at a non-asymptotic convergence rate. Experiments on both numerical and inventory control tasks verify that the proposed framework achieves superior closed-loop performance and robustness compared against state-of-the-art methods.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 29 of its 42 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 11 Oct 2025.

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References · 29

  1. 2015Data-driven Distributionally Robust Optimization Using the Wasserstein Metric: Performance Guarantees and Tractable Reformulationscited by 285
  2. 2018Differentiable MPC for End-to-end Planning and Controlcited by 178
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  4. 2019Pontryagin Differentiable Programming: An End-to-End Learning and Control Frameworkcited by 48
  5. 2021Nonsmooth Implicit Differentiation for Machine Learning and Optimizationcited by 43
  6. 2018Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Stochastic Control: A Data-Driven Approachcited by 27
  7. 2020Neural Contraction Metrics for Robust Estimation and Control: A Convex Optimization Approachcited by 22
  8. 2018Solution Refinement at Regular Points of Conic Problemscited by 21
  9. 2020Distributionally Robust Chance Constrained Data-enabled Predictive Controlcited by 13
  10. 2023Learning Decision-Focused Uncertainty Sets in Robust Optimizationcited by 12
  11. 2019Data-driven ambiguity sets with probabilistic guarantees for dynamic processescited by 9
  12. 2020Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Motion Control for Collision Avoidance Using Conditional Value-at-Riskcited by 8
17 more
  1. 2022Distributional Reinforcement Learning with Regularized Wasserstein Losscited by 8
  2. 2021Distributional robustness in minimax linear quadratic control with Wasserstein distancecited by 6
  3. 2023Distributionally Robust Optimal and Safe Control of Stochastic Systems via Kernel Conditional Mean Embeddingcited by 6
  4. 2023Differentiable Robust Model Predictive Controlcited by 5
  5. 2015Constraint-Tightening and Stability in Stochastic Model Predictive Controlcited by 4
  6. 2016Stochastic MPC with Offline Uncertainty Samplingcited by 4
  7. 2017A dynamic game approach to distributionally robust safety specifications for stochastic systemscited by 4
  8. 2021A General Framework for Learning-Based Distributionally Robust MPC of Markov Jump Systemscited by 4
  9. 2022Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Control of Partially Observable Linear Stochastic Systemscited by 4
  10. 2020Minimax Q-learning Control for Linear Systems Using the Wasserstein Metriccited by 2
  11. 2020Online Learning Based Risk-Averse Stochastic MPC of Constrained Linear Uncertain Systemscited by 2
  12. 2022Ambiguity Tube MPCcited by 2
  13. 2022Data-driven distributionally robust MPC for systems with uncertain dynamicscited by 2
  14. 2023Distributionally Robust LQG control under Distributed Uncertaintycited by 2
  15. 2023Distributionally Robust Infinite-horizon Control: from a pool of samples to the design of dependable controllerscited by 2
  16. 2024Distributionally Robust Control for Chance-Constrained Signal Temporal Logic Specificationscited by 1
  17. 2025Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Mixed-Integer Control through Lifted Control Policycited by 1

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