Efficient Bayesian Inference from Noisy Pairwise Comparisons
On the map: LLM alignment / RLHF / preference optimisation → Human values and AI feedback alignment
Abstract (arXiv)
Evaluating generative models is challenging because standard metrics often fail to reflect human preferences. Human evaluations are more reliable but costly and noisy, as participants vary in expertise, attention, and diligence. Pairwise comparisons improve consistency, yet aggregating them into overall quality scores requires careful modeling. Bradley-Terry-based methods update item scores from comparisons, but existing approaches either ignore rater variability or lack convergence guarantees, limiting robustness and interpretability. We introduce BBQ, a Bayesian Bradley-Terry variant that explicitly models rater quality, downweighting or removing unreliable participants, and provides guaranteed monotonic likelihood convergence through an Expectation-Maximization algorithm. Empirical results show that BBQ provides efficient inference, well-calibrated uncertainty estimates, and more robust, interpretable rankings compared to baseline Bradley-Terry models, even with noisy or crowdsourced raters. This framework enables more reliable and cost-effective human evaluation of generative models.
Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Human values and AI feedback alignment, one of 10 directions in LLM alignment / RLHF / preference optimisation. Builds on 9 of its 38 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Oct 2025.
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- 2023Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arenacited by 8,393
- 2020High-Fidelity Generative Image Compressioncited by 331
- 2015Simple, Robust and Optimal Ranking from Pairwise Comparisonscited by 68
- 2016Double Thompson Sampling for Dueling Banditscited by 42
- 2018Approximate Ranking from Pairwise Comparisonscited by 21
- 2024Good, Cheap, and Fast: Overfitted Image Compression with Wasserstein Distortioncited by 13
- 2023MOSPC: MOS Prediction Based on Pairwise Comparisoncited by 7
- 2024Conditional Hallucinations for Image Compressioncited by 2
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- 2025Pairwise or Pointwise? Evaluating Feedback Protocols for Bias in LLM-Based Evaluation
- 2026Prompt-Dependent Ranking of Large Language Models with Uncertainty Quantification
- 2025Distribution-Calibrated Inference Time Compute for Thinking LLM-as-a-Judge
- 2024An analysis of the noise schedule for score-based generative models
- 2025Score-Based Density Estimation from Pairwise Comparisons
- 2026When Metropolis and Hastings Meet Bradley and Terry: Exact MCMC From Preference Voting