Order Optimal Regret Bounds for Sharpe Ratio Optimization under Thompson Sampling
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Abstract (arXiv)
In this paper, we study sequential decision-making for maximizing the Sharpe ratio (SR) in a stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) setting. Unlike standard bandit formulations that maximize cumulative reward, SR optimization requires balancing expected return and reward variability. As a result, the learning objective depends jointly on the mean and variance of the reward distribution and takes a fractional form. To address this problem, we propose the Sharpe Ratio Thompson Sampling textttSRTS, a Bayesian algorithm for risk-adjusted exploration. For Gaussian reward models, the algorithm employs a Normal-Gamma conjugate posterior to capture uncertainty in both the mean and the precision of each arm. In contrast to additive mean-variance (MV) formulations, which often require different algorithms across risk regimes, the fractional SR objective yields a single sampling rule that applies uniformly across risk tolerances. On the theoretical side, we develop a regret decomposition tailored to the SR objective and introduce a decoupling approach that separates the contributions of mean and variance uncertainty. This framework allows us to control the interaction between the Gaussian mean samples and the Gamma precision samples arising in the posterior. Using these results, we establish a finite-time distribution-dependent O(log n) upper bound on the expected regret. We further derive a matching information-theoretic lower bound using a change-of-measure argument, showing that the proposed algorithm is order-optimal. Finally, experiments on synthetic bandit environments illustrate the performance of textttSRTS and demonstrate improvements over existing risk-aware bandit algorithms across a range of risk-return settings.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 17 of its 40 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 19 Aug 2025.
Builds on
17 of 40 references.
References · 17
- 2019Introduction to Multi-Armed Banditscited by 481
- 2013Learning to Optimize Via Posterior Samplingcited by 256
- 2014An Information-Theoretic Analysis of Thompson Samplingcited by 178
- 2016Explore First, Exploit Next: The True Shape of Regret in Bandit Problemscited by 79
- 2013Thompson Sampling for 1-Dimensional Exponential Family Banditscited by 42
- 2018An Information-Theoretic Analysis for Thompson Sampling with Many Actionscited by 35
- 2020Thompson Sampling Algorithms for Mean-Variance Banditscited by 27
- 2014Exploration vs Exploitation vs Safety: Risk-averse Multi-Armed Banditscited by 26
- 2020Optimal Thompson Sampling strategies for support-aware CVaR banditscited by 26
- 2018Concentration bounds for empirical conditional value-at-risk: The unbounded casecited by 13
- 2020Risk-Constrained Thompson Sampling for CVaR Banditscited by 10
- 2022A Survey of Risk-Aware Multi-Armed Banditscited by 8
5 more
- 2025Sharpe Ratio-Guided Active Learning for Preference Optimization in RLHFcited by 5
- 2019Adaptive Portfolio by Solving Multi-armed Bandit via Thompson Samplingcited by 4
- 2021The Sharpe predictor for fairness in machine learningcited by 2
- 2024Optimizing Sharpe Ratio: Risk-Adjusted Decision-Making in Multi-Armed Banditscited by 2
- 2025Variance-Optimal Arm Selection: Misallocation Minimization and Best Arm Identificationcited by 1
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.
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- 2024Thompson Sampling for Stochastic Bandits with Noisy Contexts: An Information-Theoretic Regret Analysis
- 2023Optimality of Thompson Sampling with Noninformative Priors for Pareto Bandits
- 2023The Choice of Noninformative Priors for Thompson Sampling in Multiparameter Bandit Models
- 2023Thompson Sampling for Linear Bandit Problems with Normal-Gamma Priors
- 2018Bayesian Nonparametric Thompson Sampling for Multi-Armed Bandits
- 2026Nonparametric Bayesian Optimization for General Rewards
- 2024Data-Driven Upper Confidence Bounds with Near-Optimal Regret for Heavy-Tailed Bandits
- 2025Feel-Good Thompson Sampling for Contextual Bandits: a Markov Chain Monte Carlo Showdown