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Risk-Sensitive Conformal Prediction for Catheter Placement Detection in Chest X-rays

arXiv 2505.22496 ↗First posted 28 May 2025eess.IV cs.CV stat.APcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

This paper presents a novel approach to catheter and line position detection in chest X-rays, combining multi-task learning with risk-sensitive conformal prediction to address critical clinical requirements. Our model simultaneously performs classification, segmentation, and landmark detection, leveraging the synergistic relationship between these tasks to improve overall performance. We further enhance clinical reliability through risk-sensitive conformal prediction, which provides statistically guaranteed prediction sets with higher reliability for clinically critical findings. Experimental results demonstrate excellent performance with 90.68% overall empirical coverage and 99.29% coverage for critical conditions, while maintaining remarkable precision in prediction sets. Most importantly, our risk-sensitive approach achieves zero high-risk mispredictions (cases where the system dangerously declares problematic tubes as confidently normal), making the system particularly suitable for clinical deployment. This work offers both accurate predictions and reliably quantified uncertainty -- essential features for life-critical medical applications.

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References · 13

  1. 2015Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognitioncited by 52,096
  2. 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,960
  3. 2019CheXpert: A Large Chest Radiograph Dataset with Uncertainty Labels and Expert Comparisoncited by 1,423
  4. 2021EfficientNetV2: Smaller Models and Faster Trainingcited by 1,135
  5. 2017ChestX-ray8: Hospital-scale Chest X-ray Database and Benchmarks on Weakly-Supervised Classification and Localization of Common Thorax Diseasescited by 972
  6. 2021A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 792
  7. 2019Conformal Prediction Under Covariate Shiftcited by 519
  8. 2020Classification with Valid and Adaptive Coveragecited by 396
  9. 2019Verified Uncertainty Calibrationcited by 309
  10. 2022Conformal Risk Controlcited by 299
  11. 2021Learning Optimal Conformal Classifierscited by 112
  12. 2022Improving Trustworthiness of AI Disease Severity Rating in Medical Imaging with Ordinal Conformal Prediction Setscited by 38
1 more
  1. 2019Predictive Uncertainty Quantification with Compound Density Networkscited by 9

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