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Statistical Guarantees in Synthetic Data through Conformal Adversarial Generation

arXiv 2504.17058 ↗First posted 23 Apr 2025cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

The generation of high-quality synthetic data presents significant challenges in machine learning research, particularly regarding statistical fidelity and uncertainty quantification. Existing generative models produce compelling synthetic samples but lack rigorous statistical guarantees about their relation to the underlying data distribution, limiting their applicability in critical domains requiring robust error bounds. We address this fundamental limitation by presenting a novel framework that incorporates conformal prediction methodologies into Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs). By integrating multiple conformal prediction paradigms including Inductive Conformal Prediction (ICP), Mondrian Conformal Prediction, Cross-Conformal Prediction, and Venn-Abers Predictors, we establish distribution-free uncertainty quantification in generated samples. This approach, termed Conformalized GAN (cGAN), demonstrates enhanced calibration properties while maintaining the generative power of traditional GANs, producing synthetic data with provable statistical guarantees. We provide rigorous mathematical proofs establishing finite-sample validity guarantees and asymptotic efficiency properties, enabling the reliable application of synthetic data in high-stakes domains including healthcare, finance, and autonomous systems.

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References · 11

  1. 2020Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Modelscited by 21,076
  2. 2021High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Modelscited by 18,863
  3. 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,960
  4. 2015Variational Inference with Normalizing Flowscited by 2,170
  5. 2017Wasserstein GANcited by 639
  6. 2021Tackling the Generative Learning Trilemma with Denoising Diffusion GANscited by 516
  7. 2020Classification with Valid and Adaptive Coveragecited by 396
  8. 2022Conformal prediction beyond exchangeabilitycited by 355
  9. 2022Conformal Prediction with Temporal Quantile Adjustmentscited by 25
  10. 2023Risk-Aware and Explainable Framework for Ensuring Guaranteed Coverage in Evolving Hardware Trojan Detectioncited by 2
  11. 2024Chatting with Logs: An exploratory study on Finetuning LLMs for LogQLcited by 1

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