mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Graphical Models for Decision-Making: Integrating Causality and Game Theory

arXiv 2504.13210 ↗First posted 16 Apr 2025cs.AI cs.GT cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Causality and game theory are two influential fields that contribute significantly to decision-making in various domains. Causality defines and models causal relationships in complex policy problems, while game theory provides insights into strategic interactions among stakeholders with competing interests. Integrating these frameworks has led to significant theoretical advancements with the potential to improve decision-making processes. However, practical applications of these developments remain underexplored. To support efforts toward implementation, this paper clarifies key concepts in game theory and causality that are essential to their intersection, particularly within the context of probabilistic graphical models. By rigorously examining these concepts and illustrating them with intuitive, consistent examples, we clarify the required inputs for implementing these models, provide practitioners with insights into their application and selection across different scenarios, and reference existing research that supports their implementation. We hope this work encourages broader adoption of these models in real-world scenarios.

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References · 14

  1. 2020A Survey on Causal Inferencecited by 202
  2. 2023A Survey on Causal Discovery: Theory and Practicecited by 63
  3. 2022Developing Optimal Causal Cyber-Defence Agents via Cyber Security Simulationcited by 37
  4. 2020Semiparametric Inference For Causal Effects In Graphical Models With Hidden Variablescited by 23
  5. 2021Prior knowledge elicitation: The past, present, and futurecited by 23
  6. 2023Reasoning about Causality in Gamescited by 20
  7. 2024Empirical Game-Theoretic Analysis: A Surveycited by 13
  8. 2021Prospective Artificial Intelligence Approaches for Active Cyber Defencecited by 11
  9. 2019Machine learning in policy evaluation: new tools for causal inferencecited by 10
  10. 2014A factorization criterion for acyclic directed mixed graphscited by 8
  11. 2022The Impact of Variable Ordering on Bayesian Network Structure Learningcited by 5
  12. 2019Choosing with unknown causal information: Action-outcome probabilities for decision making can be grounded in causal modelscited by 2
2 more
  1. 2019Causal Games and Causal Nash Equilibriumcited by 2
  2. 2020Causal Structure Learning: a Bayesian approach based on random graphscited by 1

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