Safety Cases: A Scalable Approach to Frontier AI Safety
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Abstract (arXiv)
Safety cases - clear, assessable arguments for the safety of a system in a given context - are a widely-used technique across various industries for showing a decision-maker (e.g. boards, customers, third parties) that a system is safe. In this paper, we cover how and why frontier AI developers might also want to use safety cases. We then argue that writing and reviewing safety cases would substantially assist in the fulfilment of many of the Frontier AI Safety Commitments. Finally, we outline open research questions on the methodology, implementation, and technical details of safety cases.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 3 of its 5 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 5 Feb 2025.
Builds on
3 of 5 references.
References · 3
- 2023AI Control: Improving Safety Despite Intentional Subversioncited by 207
- 2024AI Sandbagging: Language Models can Strategically Underperform on Evaluationscited by 131
- 2024The rising costs of training frontier AI modelscited by 91
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 5; 2026: 3.
8 papers.
- 2025When Chain of Thought is Necessary, Language Models Struggle to Evade Monitorscited by 81
- 2025How to evaluate control measures for LLM agents? A trajectory from today to superintelligencecited by 20
- 2025An alignment safety case sketch based on debatecited by 12
- 2025STREAM (ChemBio): A Standard for Transparently Reporting Evaluations in AI Model Reportscited by 9
- 2025Systematic Hazard Analysis for Frontier AI using STPAcited by 6
- 2026When Do LLM Preferences Predict Downstream Behavior?cited by 5
- 2026Clear, Compelling Arguments: Rethinking the Foundations of Frontier AI Safety Casescited by 1
- 2026Questionnaire Responses Do not Capture the Safety of AI Agentscited by 0
- 2026Questionnaire Responses Do not Capture the Safety of AI Agents15 Mar 2026
- 2026Clear, Compelling Arguments: Rethinking the Foundations of Frontier AI Safety Cases8 Mar 2026
- 2026When Do LLM Preferences Predict Downstream Behavior?21 Feb 2026
- 2025STREAM (ChemBio): A Standard for Transparently Reporting Evaluations in AI Model Reports13 Aug 2025
- 2025When Chain of Thought is Necessary, Language Models Struggle to Evade Monitors7 Jul 2025
- 2025Systematic Hazard Analysis for Frontier AI using STPA2 Jun 2025
- 2025An alignment safety case sketch based on debate6 May 2025
- 2025How to evaluate control measures for LLM agents? A trajectory from today to superintelligence7 Apr 2025