mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Uncertainty Quantification of Large Language Models through Multi-Dimensional Responses

arXiv 2502.16820 ↗First posted 24 Feb 2025cs.CL cs.AIcited by 18

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Abstract (arXiv)

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across various tasks due to large training datasets and powerful transformer architecture. However, the reliability of responses from LLMs remains a question. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) of LLMs is crucial for ensuring their reliability, especially in areas such as healthcare, finance, and decision-making. Existing UQ methods primarily focus on semantic similarity, overlooking the deeper knowledge dimensions embedded in responses. We introduce a multi-dimensional UQ framework that integrates semantic and knowledge-aware similarity analysis. By generating multiple responses and leveraging auxiliary LLMs to extract implicit knowledge, we construct separate similarity matrices and apply tensor decomposition to derive a comprehensive uncertainty representation. This approach disentangles overlapping information from both semantic and knowledge dimensions, capturing both semantic variations and factual consistency, leading to more accurate UQ. Our empirical evaluations demonstrate that our method outperforms existing techniques in identifying uncertain responses, offering a more robust framework for enhancing LLM reliability in high-stakes applications.

Key facts. Cited by 18 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 22 of its 42 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 24 Feb 2025.

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22 of 42 references.

References · 22

  1. 2024The Llama 3 Herd of Modelscited by 14,715
  2. 2023LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Modelscited by 14,132
  3. 2015Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 4,448
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  6. 2022Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Knowcited by 1,856
  7. 2019Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shiftcited by 1,287
  8. 2022Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Wordscited by 751
  9. 2018Evidential Deep Learning to Quantify Classification Uncertaintycited by 732
  10. 2018CoQA: A Conversational Question Answering Challengecited by 683
  11. 2020How Can We Know When Language Models Know? On the Calibration of Language Models for Question Answeringcited by 445
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10 more
  1. 2020Calibration of Pre-trained Transformerscited by 315
  2. 2020Selective Question Answering under Domain Shiftcited by 238
  3. 2023LLM Lies: Hallucinations are not Bugs, but Features as Adversarial Examplescited by 177
  4. 2023Quantifying Uncertainty in Answers from any Language Model and Enhancing their Trustworthinesscited by 122
  5. 2024Benchmarking Uncertainty Quantification Methods for Large Language Models with LM-Polygraphcited by 105
  6. 2024Decomposition Dilemmas: Does Claim Decomposition Boost or Burden Fact-Checking Performance?cited by 36
  7. 2021Uncertainty-Aware Machine Translation Evaluationcited by 35
  8. 2024FACT-GPT: Fact-Checking Augmentation via Claim Matching with LLMscited by 27
  9. 2024LLM Uncertainty Quantification through Directional Entailment Graph and Claim Level Response Augmentationcited by 23
  10. 2025From Aleatoric to Epistemic: Exploring Uncertainty Quantification Techniques in Artificial Intelligencecited by 18

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Citing papers per year: 2025: 8; 2026: 10.

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  1. 2025Uncertainty Quantification and Confidence Calibration in Large Language Models: A Surveycited by 95
  2. 2025Joint Evaluation of Answer and Reasoning Consistency for Hallucination Detection in Large Reasoning Modelscited by 14
  3. 2025Generative AI in Transportation Planning: A Surveycited by 8
  4. 2026Every Response Counts: Quantifying Uncertainty of LLM-based Multi-Agent Systems through Tensor Decompositioncited by 7
  5. 2026Are LLM Uncertainty and Correctness Encoded by the Same Features? A Functional Dissociation via Sparse Autoencoderscited by 6
  6. 2026Walking Through Uncertainty: An Empirical Study of Uncertainty Estimation for Audio-Aware Large Language Modelscited by 4
  7. 2025Improving Semantic Uncertainty Quantification in LVLMs with Semantic Gaussian Processescited by 3
  8. 2025SymLight: Exploring Interpretable and Deployable Symbolic Policies for Traffic Signal Controlcited by 2
  9. 2025ALARM: Automated MLLM-Based Anomaly Detection in Complex-EnviRonment Monitoring with Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 2
  10. 2026Anatomy of a Lie: A Multi-Stage Diagnostic Framework for Tracing Hallucinations in Vision-Language Modelscited by 2
  11. 2026Diagnosing Multi-step Reasoning Failures in Black-box LLMs via Stepwise Confidence Attributioncited by 2
  12. 2026Quantifying Consistency in LLM Logical Reasoning via Structural Uncertaintycited by 2
6 more
  1. 2026A Systematic Evaluation of Black-Box Uncertainty Estimation Methods for Large Language Modelscited by 2
  2. 2026The Origins of Stochasticity: Comprehensive Investigations on Uncertainty Quantification for Large Language Modelscited by 2
  3. 2025Beyond statistical significance: Quantifying uncertainty and statistical variability in multilingual and multitask NLP evaluationcited by 1
  4. 2025Embedding Trust: Semantic Isotropy Predicts Nonfactuality in Long-Form Text Generationcited by 1
  5. 2026Position: Uncertainty Quantification in LLMs is Just Unsupervised Clusteringcited by 0
  6. 2026Leveraging Visual Signals for Robust Token-Level Uncertainty in Vision-Language Generationcited by 0