mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Tell Me Why: Incentivizing Explanations

arXiv 2502.13410 ↗First posted 19 Feb 2025cs.GT cs.AI econ.THcited by 1

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

Common sense suggests that when individuals explain why they believe something, we can arrive at more accurate conclusions than when they simply state what they believe. Yet, there is no known mechanism that provides incentives to elicit explanations for beliefs from agents. This likely stems from the fact that standard Bayesian models make assumptions (like conditional independence of signals) that preempt the need for explanations, in order to show efficient information aggregation. A natural justification for the value of explanations is that agents' beliefs tend to be drawn from overlapping sources of information, so agents' belief reports do not reveal all that needs to be known. Indeed, this work argues that rationales-explanations of an agent's private information-lead to more efficient aggregation by allowing agents to efficiently identify what information they share and what information is new. Building on this model of rationales, we present a novel 'deliberation mechanism' to elicit rationales from agents in which truthful reporting of beliefs and rationales is a perfect Bayesian equilibrium.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 15 of its 46 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 19 Feb 2025.

Builds on

15 of 46 references.

References · 15

  1. 2018AI safety via debatecited by 400
  2. 2024Debating with More Persuasive LLMs Leads to More Truthful Answerscited by 266
  3. 2022Measuring Progress on Scalable Oversight for Large Language Modelscited by 225
  4. 2024Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Modelscited by 107
  5. 2024Wisdom of the Silicon Crowd: LLM Ensemble Prediction Capabilities Rival Human Crowd Accuracycited by 67
  6. 2023Debate Helps Supervise Unreliable Expertscited by 43
  7. 2021Are You Smarter Than a Random Expert? The Robust Aggregation of Substitutable Signalscited by 13
  8. 2014Elicitation for Aggregationcited by 9
  9. 2017Bayesian Decision Making in Groups is Hardcited by 4
  10. 2018Learning of Optimal Forecast Aggregation in Partial Evidence Environmentscited by 4
  11. 2022False Consensus, Information Theory, and Prediction Marketscited by 4
  12. 2015Combining and Extremizing Real-Valued Forecastscited by 3
3 more
  1. 2015Partial Information Framework: Model-Based Aggregation of Estimates from Diverse Information Sourcescited by 1
  2. 2019Aggregative Efficiency of Bayesian Learning in Networkscited by 1
  3. 2023Self-Resolving Prediction Markets for Unverifiable Outcomescited by 1

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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.

1 paper.