mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Robust Search with Uncertainty-Aware Value Models for Language Model Reasoning

arXiv 2502.11155 ↗First posted 16 Feb 2025cs.AI cs.CLcited by 2

On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking

Abstract (arXiv)

Value model guided search is effective in steering LLM generation but suffers from a lack of robustness. This is due to verifier failure: imperfect VMs mistakenly prune valid reasoning paths, especially when encountering unseen reasoning paths generated during search. To address this, we propose an uncertainty-aware framework with two key components: (1) Uncertainty-Aware Value Models (UVMs), which replace single-point value estimates with value distributions to quantify prediction reliability, and (2) Group Thompson Sampling, an efficient algorithm that selects candidates based on their probability of being optimal. Experiments on two In-Distribution (ID) settings (GSM8K, MATH) and three Out-Of-Distribution (OOD) settings (e.g., AIME25, Minerva Math) show our method significantly mitigates verifier failure and boosts solution coverage, especially on OOD problems. This work provides the first systematic integration of uncertainty quantification into LLM search paradigms, enhancing robustness. The code is released at https://github.com/FreedomIntelligence/UVM.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 13 of its 19 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Feb 2025.

Builds on

13 of 19 references.

Closest ancestors · 3

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2025Scaling Flaws of Verifier-Guided Search in Mathematical Reasoning1 Feb
  2. 2024Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters6 Aug
  3. 2023Alphazero-like Tree-Search can Guide Large Language Model Decoding and Training29 Sep

Other references · 10

  1. 2021Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problemscited by 10,109
  2. 2023Efficient Memory Management for Large Language Model Serving with PagedAttentioncited by 5,944
  3. 2022Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 5,708
  4. 2021Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Datasetcited by 5,371
  5. 2023Let's Verify Step by Stepcited by 3,789
  6. 2024Qwen2.5-Math Technical Report: Toward Mathematical Expert Model via Self-Improvementcited by 1,090
  7. 2024Large Language Monkeys: Scaling Inference Compute with Repeated Samplingcited by 991
  8. 2017A Tutorial on Thompson Samplingcited by 433
  9. 2023OVM, Outcome-supervised Value Models for Planning in Mathematical Reasoningcited by 85
  10. 2024Q-Star Meets Scalable Posterior Sampling: Bridging Theory and Practice via HyperAgentcited by 6

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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 1; 2026: 1.

2 papers.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2025Revisiting Uncertainty Estimation and Calibration of Large Language Models
  2. 2026Adaptive Uncertainty-Aware Tree Search for Robust Reasoning
  3. 2024Benchmarking Large Language Model Uncertainty for Prompt Optimization
  4. 2026URAG: A Benchmark for Uncertainty Quantification in Retrieval-Augmented Large Language Models
  5. 2025Can Linear Probes Measure LLM Uncertainty?
  6. 2025Uncertainty Quantification and Confidence Calibration in Large Language Models: A Survey
  7. 2026Embedding Perturbation may Better Reflect Intermediate-Step Uncertainty in LLM Reasoning
  8. 2024Rethinking Uncertainty Estimation in LLMs: A Principled Single-Sequence Measure