HADL Framework for Noise Resilient Long-Term Time Series Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Long-term time series forecasting is critical in domains such as finance, economics, and energy, where accurate and reliable predictions over extended horizons drive strategic decision-making. Despite the progress in machine learning-based models, the impact of temporal noise in extended lookback windows remains underexplored, often degrading model performance and computational efficiency. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that addresses these challenges by integrating the Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) and Discrete Cosine Transform (DCT) to perform noise reduction and extract robust long-term features. These transformations enable the separation of meaningful temporal patterns from noise in both the time and frequency domains. To complement this, we introduce a lightweight low-rank linear prediction layer that not only reduces the influence of residual noise but also improves memory efficiency. Our approach demonstrates competitive robustness to noisy input, significantly reduces computational complexity, and achieves competitive or state-of-the-art forecasting performance across diverse benchmark datasets. Extensive experiments reveal that the proposed framework is particularly effective in scenarios with high noise levels or irregular patterns, making it well suited for real-world forecasting tasks. The code is available in https://github.com/forgee-master/HADL.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 13 Oct 2026). Builds on 20 of its 36 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 14 Feb 2025.
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20 of 36 references.
References · 20
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- 2023Frequency-domain MLPs are More Effective Learners in Time Series Forecastingcited by 171
- 2023TSMixer: Lightweight MLP-Mixer Model for Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 139
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- 2024SparseTSF: Modeling Long-term Time Series Forecasting with 1k Parameterscited by 104
- 2023SegRNN: Segment Recurrent Neural Network for Long-Term Time Series Forecastingcited by 53
- 2024Fredformer: Frequency Debiased Transformer for Time Series Forecastingcited by 44
- 2022Low-rank lottery tickets: finding efficient low-rank neural networks via matrix differential equationscited by 42
- 2023LightCTS: A Lightweight Framework for Correlated Time Series Forecastingcited by 18
- 2024xLSTMTime : Long-term Time Series Forecasting With xLSTMcited by 14
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