Examining Two Hop Reasoning Through Information Content Scaling

Prior work has found that transformers have an inconsistent ability to learn to answer latent two-hop questions -- questions of the form "Who is Bob's mother's boss?" We study why this is the case by examining how transformers' capacity to learn datasets of two-hop questions and answers (two-hop QA) scales with their size, motivated by prior work on transformer knowledge capacity for simple factual memorization. We find that capacity scaling and generalization both support the hypothesis that latent two-hop QA requires transformers to learn each fact twice, while two-hop QA with chain of thought does not. We also show that with appropriate dataset parameters, it is possible to "trap" very small models in a regime where they memorize answers to two-hop questions independently, even though they would perform better if they could learn to answer them with function composition. Our findings show that measurement of capacity scaling can complement existing interpretability methods, though there are challenges in using it for this purpose.