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Apollo-Forecast: Overcoming Aliasing and Inference Speed Challenges in Language Models for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv 2412.12226 ↗First posted 16 Dec 2024cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Encoding time series into tokens and using language models for processing has been shown to substantially augment the models' ability to generalize to unseen tasks. However, existing language models for time series forecasting encounter several obstacles, including aliasing distortion and prolonged inference times, primarily due to the limitations of quantization processes and the computational demands of large models. This paper introduces Apollo-Forecast, a novel framework that tackles these challenges with two key innovations: the Anti-Aliasing Quantization Module (AAQM) and the Race Decoding (RD) technique. AAQM adeptly encodes sequences into tokens while mitigating high-frequency noise in the original signals, thus enhancing both signal fidelity and overall quantization efficiency. RD employs a draft model to enable parallel processing and results integration, which markedly accelerates the inference speed for long-term predictions, particularly in large-scale models. Extensive experiments on various real-world datasets show that Apollo-Forecast outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 35.41% and 18.99% in WQL and MASE metrics, respectively, in zero-shot scenarios. Furthermore, our method achieves a 1.9X-2.7X acceleration in inference speed over baseline methods.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 7 of its 29 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Dec 2024.

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7 of 29 references.

References · 7

  1. 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 759
  2. 2023Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Modelscited by 700
  3. 2023A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecastingcited by 692
  4. 2024Large Language Models for Time Series: A Surveycited by 114
  5. 2023Lag-Llama: Towards Foundation Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 113
  6. 2024Time Series Forecasting with LLMs: Understanding and Enhancing Model Capabilitiescited by 48
  7. 2024Position: What Can Large Language Models Tell Us about Time Series Analysiscited by 47

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  1. 2023Large Language Models Are Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters
  2. 2024AutoTimes: Autoregressive Time Series Forecasters via Large Language Models
  3. 2026From Numbers to Prompts: A Cognitive Symbolic Transition Mechanism for Lightweight Time-Series Forecasting
  4. 2025Adapting LLMs to Time Series Forecasting via Temporal Heterogeneity Modeling and Representation Alignment
  5. 2024Enhancing Foundation Models for Time Series Forecasting via Wavelet-based Tokenization
  6. 2025Enhancing Time Series Forecasting via Multi-Level Text Alignment with LLMs
  7. 2025Conversational Time Series Foundation Models: Towards Explainable and Effective Forecasting
  8. 2025TsLLM: Augmenting LLMs for General Time Series Understanding and Prediction