HiMoE: Heterogeneity-Informed Mixture-of-Experts for Fair Spatial-Temporal Forecasting
On the map: Mixture-of-experts → MoE for time series and graphs
Abstract (arXiv)
Achieving both accurate and consistent predictive performance across spatial nodes is crucial for ensuring the validity and reliability of outcomes in fair spatial-temporal forecasting tasks. However, existing training methods treat heterogeneous nodes with a fully averaged perspective, resulting in inherently biased prediction targets. Balancing accuracy and consistency is particularly challenging due to the multi-objective nature of spatial-temporal forecasting. To address this issue, we propose a novel Heterogeneity-Informed Mixture-of-Experts (HiMoE) framework that delivers both uniform and precise spatial-temporal predictions. From a model architecture perspective, we design the Heterogeneity-Informed Graph Convolutional Network (HiGCN) to address trend heterogeneity, and we introduce the Node-wise Mixture-of-Experts (NMoE) module to handle cardinality heterogeneity across nodes. From an evaluation perspective, we propose STFairBench, a benchmark that handles fairness in spatial-temporal prediction from both training and evaluation stages. Extensive experiments on four real-world datasets demonstrate that HiMoE achieves state-of-the-art performance, outperforming the best baseline by at least 9.22% across all evaluation metrics.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in MoE for time series and graphs, one of 12 directions in Mixture-of-experts. Builds on 41 of its 58 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 30 Nov 2024.
Builds on
41 of 58 references.
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- 2024Interpretable Cascading Mixture-of-Experts for Urban Traffic Congestion Prediction14 Jun
- 2024TESTAM: A Time-Enhanced Spatio-Temporal Attention Model with Mixture of Experts5 Mar
Other references · 39
- 2016Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networkscited by 11,282
- 2017Graph Attention Networkscited by 8,854
- 2020Scaling Laws for Neural Language Modelscited by 6,411
- 2017Outrageously Large Neural Networks: The Sparsely-Gated Mixture-of-Experts Layercited by 3,413
- 2019A Comprehensive Survey on Graph Neural Networkscited by 2,906
- 2017Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecastingcited by 1,125
- 2021GLaM: Efficient Scaling of Language Models with Mixture-of-Expertscited by 890
- 2019Graph WaveNet for Deep Spatial-Temporal Graph Modelingcited by 820
- 2021Scaling Vision with Sparse Mixture of Expertscited by 740
- 2020Connecting the Dots: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Graph Neural Networkscited by 563
- 2020Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network for Traffic Forecastingcited by 525
- 2019GMAN: A Graph Multi-Attention Network for Traffic Predictioncited by 433
27 more
- 2016Deep Spatio-Temporal Residual Networks for Citywide Crowd Flows Predictioncited by 330
- 2024A Survey on Mixture of Experts in Large Language Modelscited by 233
- 2021Spatial-Temporal Graph ODE Networks for Traffic Flow Forecastingcited by 209
- 2024OpenMoE: An Early Effort on Open Mixture-of-Experts Language Modelscited by 185
- 2020Spatial-Temporal Transformer Networks for Traffic Flow Forecastingcited by 179
- 2021Efficient Large Scale Language Modeling with Mixtures of Expertscited by 175
- 2022Graph Neural Networks for Graphs with Heterophily: A Surveycited by 175
- 2023Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks for Predictive Learning in Urban Computing: A Surveycited by 140
- 2021Graph Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Traffic Forecastingcited by 133
- 2022Decoupled Dynamic Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Network for Traffic Forecastingcited by 122
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- 2020PM2.5-GNN: A Domain Knowledge Enhanced Graph Neural Network For PM2.5 Forecastingcited by 52
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- 2020Joint Air Quality and Weather Prediction Based on Multi-Adversarial Spatiotemporal Networkscited by 39
- 2015Generative Image Modeling Using Spatial LSTMscited by 35
- 2023Spatial-Temporal-Decoupled Masked Pre-training for Spatiotemporal Forecastingcited by 27
- 2024Heterogeneity-Informed Meta-Parameter Learning for Spatiotemporal Time Series Forecastingcited by 18
- 2024FlashST: A Simple and Universal Prompt-Tuning Framework for Traffic Predictioncited by 18
- 2023Causal conditional hidden Markov model for multimodal traffic predictioncited by 14
- 2019FairST: Equitable Spatial and Temporal Demand Prediction for New Mobility Systemscited by 13
- 2023Spatio-temporal neural structural causal models for bike flow predictioncited by 9
- 2023Learning Informative Representation for Fairness-aware Multivariate Time-series Forecasting: A Group-based Perspectivecited by 8
- 2024FairSTG: Countering performance heterogeneity via collaborative sample-level optimizationcited by 3
- 2024Spatial-Temporal Mixture-of-Graph-Experts for Multi-Type Crime Predictioncited by 3
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- 2024Navigating Spatio-Temporal Heterogeneity: A Graph Transformer Approach for Traffic Forecasting
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