HonestCyberEval: An AI Cyber Risk Benchmark for Automated Software Exploitation

We introduce HonestCyberEval, a new benchmark for assessing AI models' capabilities and risks in automated software exploitation, focusing on their ability to detect and exploit vulnerabilities in real-world software systems. Our evaluation leverages the Nginx web server repository augmented with synthetic vulnerabilities. We assess several leading language models, including OpenAI's GPT-4.5, o3-mini, o1 and o1-mini, Anthropic's Claude-3-7-sonnet-20250219, Claude-3.5-sonnet-20241022 and Claude-3.5-sonnet-20240620, Google DeepMind's Gemini-1.5-pro, and OpenAI's earlier GPT-4o model. Our findings reveal that these models vary significantly in their success rates and efficiency, with o1-preview achieving the highest success rate (92.85%) and o3-mini and Claude-3.7-sonnet-20250219 providing cost-effective but less successful alternatives. This risk evaluation establishes a foundation for systematically evaluating the AI cyber risk in realistic cyber offence operations.