Building Conformal Prediction Intervals with Approximate Message Passing
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Abstract (arXiv)
Conformal prediction has emerged as a powerful tool for building prediction intervals that are valid in a distribution-free way. However, its evaluation may be computationally costly, especially in the high-dimensional setting where the dimensionality and sample sizes are both large and of comparable magnitudes. To address this challenge in the context of generalized linear regression, we propose a novel algorithm based on Approximate Message Passing (AMP) to accelerate the computation of prediction intervals using full conformal prediction, by approximating the computation of conformity scores. Our work bridges a gap between modern uncertainty quantification techniques and tools for high-dimensional problems involving the AMP algorithm. We evaluate our method on both synthetic and real data, and show that it produces prediction intervals that are close to the baseline methods, while being orders of magnitude faster. Additionally, in the high-dimensional limit and under assumptions on the data distribution, the conformity scores computed by AMP converge to the one computed exactly, which allows theoretical study and benchmarking of conformal methods in high dimensions.
Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 20 of its 38 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 21 Oct 2024.
Builds on
20 of 38 references.
References · 20
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8 more
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 1; 2026: 1.
2 papers.
- 2026Accelerating Conformal Prediction via Approximate Leave-One-Out30 Jun 2026
- 2025Distributed Conformal Prediction via Message Passing24 Jan 2025