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Global Censored Quantile Random Forest

arXiv 2410.12209 ↗First posted 16 Oct 2024stat.ML cs.LG stat.MEcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

In recent years, censored quantile regression has enjoyed an increasing popularity for survival analysis while many existing works rely on linearity assumptions. In this work, we propose a Global Censored Quantile Random Forest (GCQRF) for predicting a conditional quantile process on data subject to right censoring, a forest-based flexible, competitive method able to capture complex nonlinear relationships. Taking into account the randomness in trees and connecting the proposed method to a randomized incomplete infinite degree U-process (IDUP), we quantify the prediction process' variation without assuming an infinite forest and establish its weak convergence. Moreover, feature importance ranking measures based on out-of-sample predictive accuracy are proposed. We demonstrate the superior predictive accuracy of the proposed method over a number of existing alternatives and illustrate the use of the proposed importance ranking measures on both simulated and real data.

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References · 16

  1. 2015Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forestscited by 600
  2. 2016Generalized Random Forestscited by 312
  3. 2015A Random Forest Guided Tourcited by 168
  4. 2019Unrestricted Permutation forces Extrapolation: Variable Importance Requires at least One More Model, or There Is No Free Variable Importancecited by 87
  5. 2014Consistency of random forestscited by 85
  6. 2018Hyperparameters and Tuning Strategies for Random Forestcited by 84
  7. 2020A general framework for inference on algorithm-agnostic variable importancecited by 45
  8. 2019Randomization as Regularization: A Degrees of Freedom Explanation for Random Forest Successcited by 30
  9. 2019Asymptotic Distributions and Rates of Convergence for Random Forests via Generalized U-statisticscited by 18
  10. 2021Trees, Forests, Chickens, and Eggs: When and Why to Prune Trees in a Random Forestcited by 13
  11. 2017Randomized incomplete U-statistics in high dimensionscited by 12
  12. 2020Getting Better from Worse: Augmented Bagging and a Cautionary Tale of Variable Importancecited by 10
4 more
  1. 2020Censored Quantile Regression Forestcited by 6
  2. 2020Multi-stage optimal dynamic treatment regimes for survival outcomes with dependent censoringcited by 5
  3. 2019Interval censored recursive forestscited by 3
  4. 2022Hybrid Censored Quantile Regression Forest to Assess the Heterogeneous Effectscited by 1

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