StockGPT: A GenAI Model for Stock Prediction and Trading
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Abstract (arXiv)
This paper introduces StockGPT, an autoregressive ``number'' model trained and tested on 70 million daily U.S. stock returns over nearly 100 years. Treating each return series as a sequence of tokens, StockGPT automatically learns the hidden patterns predictive of future returns via its attention mechanism. On a held-out test sample from 2001 to 2023, daily and monthly rebalanced long-short portfolios formed from StockGPT predictions yield strong performance. The StockGPT-based portfolios span momentum and long-/short-term reversals, eliminating the need for manually crafted price-based strategies, and yield highly significant alphas against leading stock market factors, suggesting a novel AI pricing effect. This highlights the immense promise of generative AI in surpassing human in making complex financial investment decisions.
Key facts. Cited by 11 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 10 of its 30 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 7 Apr 2024.
Builds on
10 of 30 references.
References · 10
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- 2023BloombergGPT: A Large Language Model for Financecited by 923
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- 2020FinBERT: A Pretrained Language Model for Financial Communicationscited by 161
- 2023Can ChatGPT Forecast Stock Price Movements? Return Predictability and Large Language Modelscited by 125
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 2; 2025: 3; 2026: 6.
11 papers.
- 2024Large Language Model Agent in Financial Trading: A Surveycited by 60
- 2024Opportunities and Challenges of Generative-AI in Financecited by 6
- 2025Bridging Language Models and Financial Analysiscited by 4
- 2026A Review of Large Language Models for Stock Price Forecasting from a Hedge-Fund Perspectivecited by 2
- 2025The Gaining Paths to Investment Success: Information-Driven LLM Graph Reasoning for Venture Capital Predictioncited by 1
- 2026Moira: Language-driven Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning for Pair Tradingcited by 1
- 2025Large-scale portfolio optimization with variational neural annealingcited by 0
- 2026BizFinBench.v2: Towards Reliable LLMs in Finance via Real-User Data and Offline/Online Bilingual Evaluationcited by 0
- 2026UniFinEval: Towards Unified Evaluation of Financial Multimodal Models across Text, Images and Videoscited by 0
- 2026Beyond Agent Architecture: Execution Assumptions and Reproducibility in LLM-Based Trading Systemscited by 0
- 2026VAIOM: Continuous-Input, Discrete-Output Decoder-Only Financial Sequence Modelingcited by 0
- 2026VAIOM: Continuous-Input, Discrete-Output Decoder-Only Financial Sequence Modeling15 Jul 2026
- 2026Beyond Agent Architecture: Execution Assumptions and Reproducibility in LLM-Based Trading Systems6 Jun 2026
- 2026Moira: Language-driven Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning for Pair Trading3 May 2026
- 2026A Review of Large Language Models for Stock Price Forecasting from a Hedge-Fund Perspective10 Apr 2026
- 2026BizFinBench.v2: Towards Reliable LLMs in Finance via Real-User Data and Offline/Online Bilingual Evaluation10 Jan 2026
- 2026UniFinEval: Towards Unified Evaluation of Financial Multimodal Models across Text, Images and Videos9 Jan 2026
- 2025The Gaining Paths to Investment Success: Information-Driven LLM Graph Reasoning for Venture Capital Prediction29 Dec 2025
- 2025Large-scale portfolio optimization with variational neural annealing9 Jul 2025
- 2025Bridging Language Models and Financial Analysis14 Mar 2025
- 2024Opportunities and Challenges of Generative-AI in Finance21 Oct 2024
- 2024Large Language Model Agent in Financial Trading: A Survey26 Jul 2024