Arrows of Time for Large Language Models
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Abstract (arXiv)
We study the probabilistic modeling performed by Autoregressive Large Language Models (LLMs) through the angle of time directionality, addressing a question first raised in (Shannon, 1951). For large enough models, we empirically find a time asymmetry in their ability to learn natural language: a difference in the average log-perplexity when trying to predict the next token versus when trying to predict the previous one. This difference is at the same time subtle and very consistent across various modalities (language, model size, training time, ...). Theoretically, this is surprising: from an information-theoretic point of view, there should be no such difference. We provide a theoretical framework to explain how such an asymmetry can appear from sparsity and computational complexity considerations, and outline a number of perspectives opened by our results.
Key facts. Cited by 18 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 35 of its 58 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 30 Jan 2024.
Builds on
35 of 58 references.
References · 35
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- 2020Language Models are Few-Shot Learnerscited by 32,199
- 2019Exploring the Limits of Transfer Learning with a Unified Text-to-Text Transformercited by 14,491
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- 2023Are Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models a Mirage?cited by 515
- 2017Non-Autoregressive Neural Machine Translationcited by 457
- 2015Order Matters: Sequence to sequence for setscited by 236
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- 2021Towards Causal Representation Learningcited by 207
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 4; 2025: 8; 2026: 6.
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- 2025Train for the Worst, Plan for the Best: Understanding Token Ordering in Masked Diffusionscited by 208
- 2024The pitfalls of next-token predictioncited by 156
- 2025Seeing the Arrow of Time in Large Multimodal Modelscited by 28
- 2024σ-GPTs: A New Approach to Autoregressive Modelscited by 20
- 2026Language Modeling with Hyperspherical Flowscited by 15
- 2024The Belief State Transformercited by 12
- 2025Improving Diversity in Language Models: When Temperature Fails, Change the Losscited by 7
- 2025Cross-Entropy Games for Language Models: From Implicit Knowledge to General Capability Measurescited by 2
- 2024Beyond Human-Like Processing: Large Language Models Perform Equivalently on Forward and Backward Scientific Textcited by 1
- 2025What Makes the Preferred Thinking Direction for LLMs in Multiple-choice Questions?cited by 1
- 2025Distilling Specialized Orders for Visual Generationcited by 1
- 2025Probability Consistency in Large Language Models: Theoretical Foundations Meet Empirical Discrepanciescited by 1
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- 2025Directional Optimization Asymmetry in Transformers: A Synthetic Stress Testcited by 0
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- 2026BlockGen: Flexible Blockwise Sequence Modeling with Hybrid Samplerscited by 0
- 2026Simplifying the Modeling of Arbitrary Conditionals in Natural Languagecited by 0
- 2026A Study of Temporal Fusion Strategies for Named Entity Recognition in Historical Textscited by 0
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- 2026Line-Coupled Language Model7 Sep 2026
- 2026A Study of Temporal Fusion Strategies for Named Entity Recognition in Historical Texts26 Jun 2026
- 2026Simplifying the Modeling of Arbitrary Conditionals in Natural Language12 Jun 2026
- 2026BlockGen: Flexible Blockwise Sequence Modeling with Hybrid Samplers1 Jun 2026
- 2026Language Modeling with Hyperspherical Flows11 May 2026
- 2026Marginals Before Conditionals10 Mar 2026
- 2025Directional Optimization Asymmetry in Transformers: A Synthetic Stress Test25 Nov 2025
- 2025Improving Diversity in Language Models: When Temperature Fails, Change the Loss13 Aug 2025
- 2025Cross-Entropy Games for Language Models: From Implicit Knowledge to General Capability Measures7 Jun 2025
- 2025Seeing the Arrow of Time in Large Multimodal Models3 Jun 2025
- 2025Probability Consistency in Large Language Models: Theoretical Foundations Meet Empirical Discrepancies13 May 2025
- 2025Distilling Specialized Orders for Visual Generation23 Apr 2025
6 more
- 2025What Makes the Preferred Thinking Direction for LLMs in Multiple-choice Questions?25 Feb 2025
- 2025Train for the Worst, Plan for the Best: Understanding Token Ordering in Masked Diffusions10 Feb 2025
- 2024Beyond Human-Like Processing: Large Language Models Perform Equivalently on Forward and Backward Scientific Text17 Nov 2024
- 2024The Belief State Transformer30 Oct 2024
- 2024σ-GPTs: A New Approach to Autoregressive Models15 Apr 2024
- 2024The pitfalls of next-token prediction11 Mar 2024
- 2025Seeing the Arrow of Time in Large Multimodal Modelscited by 28
- 2025Seeing the Arrow of Time in Large Multimodal Models3 Jun 2025
- 2024The pitfalls of next-token predictioncited by 156
- 2024σ-GPTs: A New Approach to Autoregressive Modelscited by 20
- 2024The Belief State Transformercited by 12
- 2025Improving Diversity in Language Models: When Temperature Fails, Change the Losscited by 7
- 2025Cross-Entropy Games for Language Models: From Implicit Knowledge to General Capability Measurescited by 2
- 2024Beyond Human-Like Processing: Large Language Models Perform Equivalently on Forward and Backward Scientific Textcited by 1
- 2025Distilling Specialized Orders for Visual Generationcited by 1
- 2025Probability Consistency in Large Language Models: Theoretical Foundations Meet Empirical Discrepanciescited by 1
- 2025Directional Optimization Asymmetry in Transformers: A Synthetic Stress Testcited by 0
- 2026Marginals Before Conditionalscited by 0
- 2026Simplifying the Modeling of Arbitrary Conditionals in Natural Languagecited by 0
- 2026A Study of Temporal Fusion Strategies for Named Entity Recognition in Historical Textscited by 0
12 most cited of 13 All 13 (JSON)
- 2026Line-Coupled Language Model7 Sep 2026
- 2026A Study of Temporal Fusion Strategies for Named Entity Recognition in Historical Texts26 Jun 2026
- 2026Simplifying the Modeling of Arbitrary Conditionals in Natural Language12 Jun 2026
- 2026Marginals Before Conditionals10 Mar 2026
- 2025Directional Optimization Asymmetry in Transformers: A Synthetic Stress Test25 Nov 2025
- 2025Improving Diversity in Language Models: When Temperature Fails, Change the Loss13 Aug 2025
- 2025Cross-Entropy Games for Language Models: From Implicit Knowledge to General Capability Measures7 Jun 2025
- 2025Probability Consistency in Large Language Models: Theoretical Foundations Meet Empirical Discrepancies13 May 2025
- 2025Distilling Specialized Orders for Visual Generation23 Apr 2025
- 2024Beyond Human-Like Processing: Large Language Models Perform Equivalently on Forward and Backward Scientific Text17 Nov 2024
- 2024The Belief State Transformer30 Oct 2024
- 2024σ-GPTs: A New Approach to Autoregressive Models15 Apr 2024
12 newest of 13 All 13 (JSON)