Signal Temporal Logic Control Synthesis among Uncontrollable Dynamic Agents with Conformal Prediction
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Abstract (arXiv)
The control of dynamical systems under temporal logic specifications among uncontrollable dynamic agents is challenging due to the agents' a-priori unknown behavior. Existing works have considered the problem where either all agents are controllable, the agent models are deterministic and known, or no safety guarantees are provided. We propose a predictive control synthesis framework that guarantees, with high probability, the satisfaction of signal temporal logic (STL) tasks that are defined over a controllable system in the presence of uncontrollable stochastic agents. We use trajectory predictors and conformal prediction to construct probabilistic prediction regions for each uncontrollable agent that are valid over multiple future time steps. Specifically, we construct a normalized prediction region over all agents and time steps to reduce conservatism and increase data efficiency. We then formulate a worst-case bilevel mixed integer program (MIP) that accounts for all agent realizations within the prediction region to obtain an open-loop controller that provably guarantee task satisfaction with high probability. To efficiently solve this bilevel MIP, we propose an equivalent MIP program based on KKT conditions of the original bilevel formulation. Building upon this, we design a closed-loop controller, where both recursive feasibility and task satisfaction can be guaranteed with high probability. We illustrate our control synthesis framework on two case studies.
Key facts. Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 7 Dec 2023.
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 2; 2025: 1; 2026: 4.
7 papers.
- 2024Recursively Feasible Shrinking-Horizon MPC in Dynamic Environments with Conformal Prediction Guaranteescited by 4
- 2024Conformal Off-Policy Prediction for Multi-Agent Systemscited by 3
- 2026When Environments Shift: Safe Planning with Generative Priors and Robust Conformal Predictioncited by 2
- 2025Uncertainty-Calibrated Prediction of Randomly-Timed Biomarker Trajectories with Conformal Bandscited by 1
- 2026Bridging Conformal Prediction and Scenario Optimization: Discarded Constraints and Modular Risk Allocationcited by 1
- 2026Reward Machines for Signal Temporal Logiccited by 0
- 2026Predictive Semantic Safety: From Visual Physical Reasoning to Safety-Critical Controlcited by 0
- 2026Predictive Semantic Safety: From Visual Physical Reasoning to Safety-Critical Control28 Sep 2026
- 2026Reward Machines for Signal Temporal Logic13 Aug 2026
- 2026Bridging Conformal Prediction and Scenario Optimization: Discarded Constraints and Modular Risk Allocation19 Mar 2026
- 2026When Environments Shift: Safe Planning with Generative Priors and Robust Conformal Prediction13 Feb 2026
- 2025Uncertainty-Calibrated Prediction of Randomly-Timed Biomarker Trajectories with Conformal Bands17 Nov 2025
- 2024Recursively Feasible Shrinking-Horizon MPC in Dynamic Environments with Conformal Prediction Guarantees17 May 2024
- 2024Conformal Off-Policy Prediction for Multi-Agent Systems25 Mar 2024