Identifiability of total effects from abstractions of time series causal graphs
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Abstract (arXiv)
We study the problem of identifiability of the total effect of an intervention from observational time series in the situation, common in practice, where one only has access to abstractions of the true causal graph. We consider here two abstractions: the extended summary causal graph, which conflates all lagged causal relations but distinguishes between lagged and instantaneous relations, and the summary causal graph which does not give any indication about the lag between causal relations. We show that the total effect is always identifiable in extended summary causal graphs and provide sufficient conditions for identifiability in summary causal graphs. We furthermore provide adjustment sets allowing to estimate the total effect whenever it is identifiable.
Key facts. Cited by 14 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 12 of its 33 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 23 Oct 2023.
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12 of 33 references.
References · 12
- 2017Detecting causal associations in large nonlinear time series datasetscited by 244
- 2016Foundations of Structural Causal Models with Cycles and Latent Variablescited by 134
- 2022Causal Effect Identification in Cluster DAGscited by 36
- 2016From Deterministic ODEs to Dynamic Structural Causal Modelscited by 32
- 2023Root Cause Identification for Collective Anomalies in Time Series given an Acyclic Summary Causal Graph with Loopscited by 30
- 2021Necessary and sufficient graphical conditions for optimal adjustment sets in causal graphical models with hidden variablescited by 16
- 2023Case Studies of Causal Discovery from IT Monitoring Time Seriescited by 14
- 2023Identifiability of Direct Effects from Summary Causal Graphscited by 12
- 2013A generalized back-door criterioncited by 9
- 2021Entropy-based Discovery of Summary Causal Graphs in Time Seriescited by 9
- 2023Causal Discovery from Time Series with Hybrids of Constraint-Based and Noise-Based Algorithmscited by 8
- 2016Identifiability and Transportability in Dynamic Causal Networkscited by 7
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 4; 2025: 8; 2026: 2.
14 papers.
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- 2024Identifying Macro Conditional Independencies and Macro Total Effects in Summary Causal Graphs with Latent Confoundingcited by 9
- 2024Towards identifiability of micro total effects in summary causal graphs with latent confounding: extension of the front-door criterioncited by 5
- 2025Identifying Macro Causal Effects in a C-DMG over ADMGscited by 4
- 2025Complete Characterization for Adjustment in Summary Causal Graphs of Time Seriescited by 3
- 2025Identifying Macro Causal Effects in C-DMGs over DMGscited by 3
- 2024Causal reasoning in difference graphscited by 2
- 2025Identifiability by common backdoor in summary causal graphs of time seriescited by 2
- 2025Identifiability in Causal Abstractions: A Hierarchy of Criteriacited by 2
- 2025Cluster-Dags as Powerful Background Knowledge For Causal Discoverycited by 2
- 2024Average Controlled and Average Natural Micro Direct Effects in Summary Causal Graphscited by 1
- 2025Orientability of Causal Relations in Time Series using Summary Causal Graphs and Faithful Distributionscited by 0
- 2025On Efficient Adjustment for Micro Causal Effects in Summary Causal Graphscited by 0
- 2026Causal Effect Identifiability in Causal Abstractions: A Strict Hierarchy of Criteria9 Oct 2026
- 2026Teleological Inference in Structural Causal Models via Intentional Interventions19 Mar 2026
- 2025On Efficient Adjustment for Micro Causal Effects in Summary Causal Graphs20 Dec 2025
- 2025Cluster-Dags as Powerful Background Knowledge For Causal Discovery10 Dec 2025
- 2025Orientability of Causal Relations in Time Series using Summary Causal Graphs and Faithful Distributions29 Aug 2025
- 2025Identifiability in Causal Abstractions: A Hierarchy of Criteria8 Jul 2025
- 2025Identifying Macro Causal Effects in C-DMGs over DMGs24 Jun 2025
- 2025Identifiability by common backdoor in summary causal graphs of time series17 Jun 2025
- 2025Complete Characterization for Adjustment in Summary Causal Graphs of Time Series17 Jun 2025
- 2025Identifying Macro Causal Effects in a C-DMG over ADMGs2 Apr 2025
- 2024Causal reasoning in difference graphs2 Nov 2024
- 2024Average Controlled and Average Natural Micro Direct Effects in Summary Causal Graphs31 Oct 2024
- 2024Identifying Macro Conditional Independencies and Macro Total Effects in Summary Causal Graphs with Latent Confoundingcited by 9
- 2024Towards identifiability of micro total effects in summary causal graphs with latent confounding: extension of the front-door criterioncited by 5
- 2025Identifying Macro Causal Effects in a C-DMG over ADMGscited by 4
- 2025Complete Characterization for Adjustment in Summary Causal Graphs of Time Seriescited by 3
- 2025Identifying Macro Causal Effects in C-DMGs over DMGscited by 3
- 2024Causal reasoning in difference graphscited by 2
- 2025Identifiability by common backdoor in summary causal graphs of time seriescited by 2
- 2025Identifiability in Causal Abstractions: A Hierarchy of Criteriacited by 2
- 2025Cluster-Dags as Powerful Background Knowledge For Causal Discoverycited by 2
- 2024Average Controlled and Average Natural Micro Direct Effects in Summary Causal Graphscited by 1
- 2025Orientability of Causal Relations in Time Series using Summary Causal Graphs and Faithful Distributionscited by 0
- 2025On Efficient Adjustment for Micro Causal Effects in Summary Causal Graphscited by 0
12 most cited of 14 All 14 (JSON)
- 2026Causal Effect Identifiability in Causal Abstractions: A Strict Hierarchy of Criteria9 Oct 2026
- 2026Teleological Inference in Structural Causal Models via Intentional Interventions19 Mar 2026
- 2025On Efficient Adjustment for Micro Causal Effects in Summary Causal Graphs20 Dec 2025
- 2025Cluster-Dags as Powerful Background Knowledge For Causal Discovery10 Dec 2025
- 2025Orientability of Causal Relations in Time Series using Summary Causal Graphs and Faithful Distributions29 Aug 2025
- 2025Identifiability in Causal Abstractions: A Hierarchy of Criteria8 Jul 2025
- 2025Identifying Macro Causal Effects in C-DMGs over DMGs24 Jun 2025
- 2025Identifiability by common backdoor in summary causal graphs of time series17 Jun 2025
- 2025Complete Characterization for Adjustment in Summary Causal Graphs of Time Series17 Jun 2025
- 2025Identifying Macro Causal Effects in a C-DMG over ADMGs2 Apr 2025
- 2024Causal reasoning in difference graphs2 Nov 2024
- 2024Average Controlled and Average Natural Micro Direct Effects in Summary Causal Graphs31 Oct 2024
12 newest of 14 All 14 (JSON)