Personalized Decision Making -- A Conceptual Introduction
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Abstract (arXiv)
Personalized decision making targets the behavior of a specific individual, while population-based decision making concerns a sub-population resembling that individual. This paper clarifies the distinction between the two and explains why the former leads to more informed decisions. We further show that by combining experimental and observational studies we can obtain valuable information about individual behavior and, consequently, improve decisions over those obtained from experimental studies alone.
Key facts. Cited by 29 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 2 of its 24 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 19 Aug 2022.
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2 of 24 references.
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 5; 2023: 8; 2024: 4; 2025: 6; 2026: 6.
29 papers.
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- 2024End-To-End Causal Effect Estimation from Unstructured Natural Language Datacited by 18
- 2022Quantifying Harmcited by 10
- 2023Approximating Counterfactual Bounds while Fusing Observational, Biased and Randomised Data Sourcescited by 9
- 2022Probabilities of Causation: Adequate Size of Experimental and Observational Samplescited by 8
- 2024Causal Contrastive Learning for Counterfactual Regression Over Timecited by 7
- 2022Probabilities of Causation: Role of Observational Datacited by 5
- 2023Epsilon-Identifiability of Causal Quantitiescited by 4
- 2022Partial counterfactual identification and uplift modeling: theoretical results and real-world assessmentcited by 3
- 2023Bounding probabilities of causation through the causal marginal problemcited by 3
- 2025The Limits of Predicting Agents from Behaviourcited by 3
- 2023Bounding the Probabilities of Benefit and Harm Through Sensitivity Parameters and Proxiescited by 2
- 2024Nondeterministic Causal Modelscited by 2
17 more
- 2025Statistical Decision Theory with Counterfactual Losscited by 2
- 2023Tightening Bounds on Probabilities of Causation By Merging Datasetscited by 1
- 2023Causal Dynamic Variational Autoencoder for Counterfactual Regression in Longitudinal Datacited by 1
- 2024Distribution-consistency Structural Causal Modelscited by 1
- 2025Identification of Probabilities of Causation: from Recursive to Closed-Form Boundscited by 1
- 2025Causal Counterfactuals Reconsideredcited by 1
- 2022Learning to Bound Counterfactual Inference from Observational, Biased and Randomised Datacited by 0
- 2023Causality-Based Feature Importance Quantifying Methods: PN-FI, PS-FI and PNS-FIcited by 0
- 2023Answering Causal Queries at Layer 3 with DiscoSCMs-Embracing Heterogeneitycited by 0
- 2025Assessing Surrogate Heterogeneity in Real World Data Using Meta-Learnerscited by 0
- 2025What is a good matching of probability measures? A counterfactual lens on transport mapscited by 0
- 2026Preference-based Conditional Treatment Effects and Policy Learningcited by 0
- 2026Bounding Probabilities of Causation with Partial Causal Diagramscited by 0
- 2026General sample size analysis for probabilities of causation: a delta method approachcited by 0
- 2026Optimal Experiments for Partial Causal Effect Identificationcited by 0
- 2026Causal EpiNets: Precision-corrected Bounds on Individual Treatment Effects using Epistemic Neural Networkscited by 0
- 2026Counterfactually Safe Reinforcement Learningcited by 0
- 2026Counterfactually Safe Reinforcement Learning24 May 2026
- 2026Causal EpiNets: Precision-corrected Bounds on Individual Treatment Effects using Epistemic Neural Networks8 May 2026
- 2026Optimal Experiments for Partial Causal Effect Identification7 May 2026
- 2026General sample size analysis for probabilities of causation: a delta method approach19 Feb 2026
- 2026Bounding Probabilities of Causation with Partial Causal Diagrams16 Feb 2026
- 2026Preference-based Conditional Treatment Effects and Policy Learning3 Feb 2026
- 2025Causal Counterfactuals Reconsidered14 Dec 2025
- 2025What is a good matching of probability measures? A counterfactual lens on transport maps19 Sep 2025
- 2025The Limits of Predicting Agents from Behaviour3 Jun 2025
- 2025Identification of Probabilities of Causation: from Recursive to Closed-Form Bounds21 May 2025
- 2025Statistical Decision Theory with Counterfactual Loss13 May 2025
- 2025Assessing Surrogate Heterogeneity in Real World Data Using Meta-Learners21 Apr 2025
17 more
- 2024End-To-End Causal Effect Estimation from Unstructured Natural Language Data9 Jul 2024
- 2024Causal Contrastive Learning for Counterfactual Regression Over Time1 Jun 2024
- 2024Nondeterministic Causal Models22 May 2024
- 2024Distribution-consistency Structural Causal Models29 Jan 2024
- 2023Causal Dynamic Variational Autoencoder for Counterfactual Regression in Longitudinal Data16 Oct 2023
- 2023Tightening Bounds on Probabilities of Causation By Merging Datasets12 Oct 2023
- 2023Answering Causal Queries at Layer 3 with DiscoSCMs-Embracing Heterogeneity17 Sep 2023
- 2023Causality-Based Feature Importance Quantifying Methods: PN-FI, PS-FI and PNS-FI28 Aug 2023
- 2023Approximating Counterfactual Bounds while Fusing Observational, Biased and Randomised Data Sources31 Jul 2023
- 2023Bounding probabilities of causation through the causal marginal problem4 Apr 2023
- 2023Bounding the Probabilities of Benefit and Harm Through Sensitivity Parameters and Proxies8 Mar 2023
- 2023Epsilon-Identifiability of Causal Quantities27 Jan 2023
- 2022Learning to Bound Counterfactual Inference from Observational, Biased and Randomised Data6 Dec 2022
- 2022Partial counterfactual identification and uplift modeling: theoretical results and real-world assessment14 Nov 2022
- 2022Probabilities of Causation: Role of Observational Data17 Oct 2022
- 2022Probabilities of Causation: Adequate Size of Experimental and Observational Samples10 Oct 2022
- 2022Quantifying Harm29 Sep 2022
- 2024End-To-End Causal Effect Estimation from Unstructured Natural Language Datacited by 18
- 2022Quantifying Harmcited by 10
- 2023Approximating Counterfactual Bounds while Fusing Observational, Biased and Randomised Data Sourcescited by 9
- 2022Probabilities of Causation: Adequate Size of Experimental and Observational Samplescited by 8
- 2024Causal Contrastive Learning for Counterfactual Regression Over Timecited by 7
- 2022Probabilities of Causation: Role of Observational Datacited by 5
- 2023Epsilon-Identifiability of Causal Quantitiescited by 4
- 2022Partial counterfactual identification and uplift modeling: theoretical results and real-world assessmentcited by 3
- 2023Bounding probabilities of causation through the causal marginal problemcited by 3
- 2025The Limits of Predicting Agents from Behaviourcited by 3
- 2023Bounding the Probabilities of Benefit and Harm Through Sensitivity Parameters and Proxiescited by 2
- 2024Nondeterministic Causal Modelscited by 2
12 most cited of 29 All 29 (JSON)
- 2026Counterfactually Safe Reinforcement Learning24 May 2026
- 2026Causal EpiNets: Precision-corrected Bounds on Individual Treatment Effects using Epistemic Neural Networks8 May 2026
- 2026Optimal Experiments for Partial Causal Effect Identification7 May 2026
- 2026General sample size analysis for probabilities of causation: a delta method approach19 Feb 2026
- 2026Bounding Probabilities of Causation with Partial Causal Diagrams16 Feb 2026
- 2026Preference-based Conditional Treatment Effects and Policy Learning3 Feb 2026
- 2025Causal Counterfactuals Reconsidered14 Dec 2025
- 2025What is a good matching of probability measures? A counterfactual lens on transport maps19 Sep 2025
- 2025The Limits of Predicting Agents from Behaviour3 Jun 2025
- 2025Identification of Probabilities of Causation: from Recursive to Closed-Form Bounds21 May 2025
- 2025Statistical Decision Theory with Counterfactual Loss13 May 2025
- 2025Assessing Surrogate Heterogeneity in Real World Data Using Meta-Learners21 Apr 2025
12 newest of 29 All 29 (JSON)