mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Detecting hidden confounding in observational data using multiple environments

arXiv 2205.13935 ↗First posted 27 May 2022stat.ME cs.LG stat.MLcited by 13

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Abstract (arXiv)

A common assumption in causal inference from observational data is that there is no hidden confounding. Yet it is, in general, impossible to verify this assumption from a single dataset. Under the assumption of independent causal mechanisms underlying the data-generating process, we demonstrate a way to detect unobserved confounders when having multiple observational datasets coming from different environments. We present a theory for testable conditional independencies that are only absent when there is hidden confounding and examine cases where we violate its assumptions: degenerate & dependent mechanisms, and faithfulness violations. Additionally, we propose a procedure to test these independencies and study its empirical finite-sample behavior using simulation studies and semi-synthetic data based on a real-world dataset. In most cases, the proposed procedure correctly predicts the presence of hidden confounding, particularly when the confounding bias is large.

Key facts. Cited by 13 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 12 of its 55 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 27 May 2022.

Builds on

12 of 55 references.

References · 12

  1. 2015Causal inference using invariant prediction: identification and confidence intervalscited by 536
  2. 2017Causal Effect Inference with Deep Latent-Variable Modelscited by 410
  3. 2016Identifying Causal Effects With Proxy Variables of an Unmeasured Confoundercited by 139
  4. 2013Counterfactual Probabilities: Computational Methods, Bounds and Applicationscited by 67
  5. 2018Removing Hidden Confounding by Experimental Groundingcited by 64
  6. 2013Strong Completeness and Faithfulness in Bayesian Networkscited by 45
  7. 2022Causal de Finetti: On the Identification of Invariant Causal Structure in Exchangeable Datacited by 42
  8. 2022Combining Observational and Randomized Data for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 32
  9. 2020Using Experiments to Correct for Selection in Observational Studiescited by 28
  10. 2022Long-term Causal Inference Under Persistent Confounding via Data Combinationcited by 27
  11. 2019Semi-Supervised Learning, Causality and the Conditional Cluster Assumptioncited by 15
  12. 2017Detecting confounding in multivariate linear models via spectral analysiscited by 14

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Citing papers per year: 2023: 1; 2024: 5; 2025: 5; 2026: 2.

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