Detecting hidden confounding in observational data using multiple environments
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
A common assumption in causal inference from observational data is that there is no hidden confounding. Yet it is, in general, impossible to verify this assumption from a single dataset. Under the assumption of independent causal mechanisms underlying the data-generating process, we demonstrate a way to detect unobserved confounders when having multiple observational datasets coming from different environments. We present a theory for testable conditional independencies that are only absent when there is hidden confounding and examine cases where we violate its assumptions: degenerate & dependent mechanisms, and faithfulness violations. Additionally, we propose a procedure to test these independencies and study its empirical finite-sample behavior using simulation studies and semi-synthetic data based on a real-world dataset. In most cases, the proposed procedure correctly predicts the presence of hidden confounding, particularly when the confounding bias is large.
Key facts. Cited by 13 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 12 of its 55 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 27 May 2022.
Builds on
12 of 55 references.
References · 12
- 2015Causal inference using invariant prediction: identification and confidence intervalscited by 536
- 2017Causal Effect Inference with Deep Latent-Variable Modelscited by 410
- 2016Identifying Causal Effects With Proxy Variables of an Unmeasured Confoundercited by 139
- 2013Counterfactual Probabilities: Computational Methods, Bounds and Applicationscited by 67
- 2018Removing Hidden Confounding by Experimental Groundingcited by 64
- 2013Strong Completeness and Faithfulness in Bayesian Networkscited by 45
- 2022Causal de Finetti: On the Identification of Invariant Causal Structure in Exchangeable Datacited by 42
- 2022Combining Observational and Randomized Data for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 32
- 2020Using Experiments to Correct for Selection in Observational Studiescited by 28
- 2022Long-term Causal Inference Under Persistent Confounding via Data Combinationcited by 27
- 2019Semi-Supervised Learning, Causality and the Conditional Cluster Assumptioncited by 15
- 2017Detecting confounding in multivariate linear models via spectral analysiscited by 14
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2023: 1; 2024: 5; 2025: 5; 2026: 2.
13 papers.
Sort:
- 2025TabPFN-2.5: Advancing the State of the Art in Tabular Foundation Modelscited by 132
- 2024Prediction-powered Generalization of Causal Inferencescited by 15
- 2024Do Finetti: On Causal Effects for Exchangeable Datacited by 11
- 2023Hidden yet quantifiable: A lower bound for confounding strength using randomized trialscited by 8
- 2024Benchmarking Observational Studies with Experimental Data under Right-Censoringcited by 4
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Surveycited by 3
- 2024Detecting and Measuring Confounding Using Causal Mechanism Shiftscited by 3
- 2025Falsification of Unconfoundedness by Testing Independence of Causal Mechanismscited by 3
- 2026Detecting Unobserved Confounders: A Kernelized Regression Approachcited by 2
- 2025Interpretable Clustering with Adaptive Heterogeneous Causal Structure Learning in Mixed Observational Datacited by 1
- 2025Big Data and the Computational Social Science of Entrepreneurship and Innovationcited by 0
- 2025Uncovering Bias Mechanisms in Observational Studiescited by 0
1 more
- 2026Identifying Structural Biases from Causal Mechanism Shifts17 Jun 2026
- 2026Detecting Unobserved Confounders: A Kernelized Regression Approach1 Jan 2026
- 2025TabPFN-2.5: Advancing the State of the Art in Tabular Foundation Models11 Nov 2025
- 2025Interpretable Clustering with Adaptive Heterogeneous Causal Structure Learning in Mixed Observational Data4 Sep 2025
- 2025Uncovering Bias Mechanisms in Observational Studies1 Jun 2025
- 2025Big Data and the Computational Social Science of Entrepreneurship and Innovation13 May 2025
- 2025Falsification of Unconfoundedness by Testing Independence of Causal Mechanisms10 Feb 2025
- 2024Detecting and Measuring Confounding Using Causal Mechanism Shifts26 Sep 2024
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Survey19 Jul 2024
- 2024Prediction-powered Generalization of Causal Inferences5 Jun 2024
- 2024Do Finetti: On Causal Effects for Exchangeable Data29 May 2024
- 2024Benchmarking Observational Studies with Experimental Data under Right-Censoring23 Feb 2024
- 2025TabPFN-2.5: Advancing the State of the Art in Tabular Foundation Modelscited by 132
- 2024Prediction-powered Generalization of Causal Inferencescited by 15
- 2024Do Finetti: On Causal Effects for Exchangeable Datacited by 11
- 2023Hidden yet quantifiable: A lower bound for confounding strength using randomized trialscited by 8
- 2024Benchmarking Observational Studies with Experimental Data under Right-Censoringcited by 4
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Surveycited by 3
- 2024Detecting and Measuring Confounding Using Causal Mechanism Shiftscited by 3
- 2025Falsification of Unconfoundedness by Testing Independence of Causal Mechanismscited by 3
- 2026Detecting Unobserved Confounders: A Kernelized Regression Approachcited by 2
- 2025Interpretable Clustering with Adaptive Heterogeneous Causal Structure Learning in Mixed Observational Datacited by 1
- 2025Big Data and the Computational Social Science of Entrepreneurship and Innovationcited by 0
- 2025Uncovering Bias Mechanisms in Observational Studiescited by 0
12 most cited of 13 All 13 (JSON)
- 2026Identifying Structural Biases from Causal Mechanism Shifts17 Jun 2026
- 2026Detecting Unobserved Confounders: A Kernelized Regression Approach1 Jan 2026
- 2025TabPFN-2.5: Advancing the State of the Art in Tabular Foundation Models11 Nov 2025
- 2025Interpretable Clustering with Adaptive Heterogeneous Causal Structure Learning in Mixed Observational Data4 Sep 2025
- 2025Uncovering Bias Mechanisms in Observational Studies1 Jun 2025
- 2025Big Data and the Computational Social Science of Entrepreneurship and Innovation13 May 2025
- 2025Falsification of Unconfoundedness by Testing Independence of Causal Mechanisms10 Feb 2025
- 2024Detecting and Measuring Confounding Using Causal Mechanism Shifts26 Sep 2024
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Survey19 Jul 2024
- 2024Prediction-powered Generalization of Causal Inferences5 Jun 2024
- 2024Do Finetti: On Causal Effects for Exchangeable Data29 May 2024
- 2024Benchmarking Observational Studies with Experimental Data under Right-Censoring23 Feb 2024
12 newest of 13 All 13 (JSON)