Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Latent Graph Inference
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Abstract (arXiv)
This paper introduces a new approach for Multivariate Time Series forecasting that jointly infers and leverages relations among time series. Its modularity allows it to be integrated with current univariate methods. Our approach allows to trade-off accuracy and computational efficiency gradually via offering on one extreme inference of a potentially fully-connected graph or on another extreme a bipartite graph. In the potentially fully-connected case we consider all pair-wise interactions among time-series which yields the best forecasting accuracy. Conversely, the bipartite case leverages the dependency structure by inter-communicating the N time series through a small set of K auxiliary nodes that we introduce. This reduces the time and memory complexity w.r.t. previous graph inference methods from O(N^2) to O(NK) with a small trade-off in accuracy. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our model in a variety of datasets where both of its variants perform better or very competitively to previous graph inference methods in terms of forecasting accuracy and time efficiency.
Key facts. Cited by 20 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 41 of its 58 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 7 Mar 2022.
Builds on
41 of 58 references.
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29 more
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 5; 2023: 7; 2024: 3; 2025: 4; 2026: 1.
20 papers.
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- 2023A Survey on Graph Neural Networks for Time Series: Forecasting, Classification, Imputation, and Anomaly Detectioncited by 145
- 2022Scalable Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networkscited by 52
- 2023Taming Local Effects in Graph-based Spatiotemporal Forecastingcited by 37
- 2023Graph Deep Learning for Time Series Forecastingcited by 26
- 2022Sparse Graph Learning from Spatiotemporal Time Seriescited by 22
- 2023Graph-based Time Series Clustering for End-to-End Hierarchical Forecastingcited by 16
- 2025Relational Conformal Prediction for Correlated Time Seriescited by 11
- 2024Joint Estimation and Prediction of City-wide Delivery Demand: A Large Language Model Empowered Graph-based Learning Approachcited by 6
- 2025Over-squashing in Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networkscited by 6
- 2022AZ-whiteness test: a test for uncorrelated noise on spatio-temporal graphscited by 5
- 2024Inferring Latent Temporal Sparse Coordination Graph for Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learningcited by 5
- 2022Contextually Enhanced ES-dRNN with Dynamic Attention for Short-Term Load Forecastingcited by 4
8 more
- 2023Contextualizing MLP-Mixers Spatiotemporally for Urban Data Forecast at Scalecited by 3
- 2023Forecasting Irregularly Sampled Time Series using Graphscited by 1
- 2023GEANN: Scalable Graph Augmentations for Multi-Horizon Time Series Forecastingcited by 1
- 2024On the Regularization of Learnable Embeddings for Time Series Forecastingcited by 1
- 2022Modeling Oceanic Variables with Dynamic Graph Neural Networkscited by 0
- 2025Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks in short term load forecasting: Does adding Graph Structure in Consumption Data Improve Predictions?cited by 0
- 2025Select, then Balance: Exploring Exogenous Variable Modeling of Spatio-Temporal Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026AdaKernel: Learning Adaptive Kernel Parameters for Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networkscited by 0
- 2026AdaKernel: Learning Adaptive Kernel Parameters for Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks31 May 2026
- 2025Select, then Balance: Exploring Exogenous Variable Modeling of Spatio-Temporal Forecasting6 Sep 2025
- 2025Over-squashing in Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks18 Jun 2025
- 2025Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks in short term load forecasting: Does adding Graph Structure in Consumption Data Improve Predictions?14 Feb 2025
- 2025Relational Conformal Prediction for Correlated Time Series13 Feb 2025
- 2024On the Regularization of Learnable Embeddings for Time Series Forecasting18 Oct 2024
- 2024Joint Estimation and Prediction of City-wide Delivery Demand: A Large Language Model Empowered Graph-based Learning Approach30 Aug 2024
- 2024Inferring Latent Temporal Sparse Coordination Graph for Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning28 Mar 2024
- 2023Graph Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting24 Oct 2023
- 2023A Survey on Graph Neural Networks for Time Series: Forecasting, Classification, Imputation, and Anomaly Detection7 Jul 2023
- 2023GEANN: Scalable Graph Augmentations for Multi-Horizon Time Series Forecasting7 Jul 2023
- 2023Contextualizing MLP-Mixers Spatiotemporally for Urban Data Forecast at Scale4 Jul 2023
8 more
- 2023Graph-based Time Series Clustering for End-to-End Hierarchical Forecasting30 May 2023
- 2023Forecasting Irregularly Sampled Time Series using Graphs22 May 2023
- 2023Taming Local Effects in Graph-based Spatiotemporal Forecasting8 Feb 2023
- 2022Contextually Enhanced ES-dRNN with Dynamic Attention for Short-Term Load Forecasting18 Dec 2022
- 2022Scalable Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks14 Sep 2022
- 2022Modeling Oceanic Variables with Dynamic Graph Neural Networks25 Jun 2022
- 2022Sparse Graph Learning from Spatiotemporal Time Series26 May 2022
- 2022AZ-whiteness test: a test for uncorrelated noise on spatio-temporal graphs23 Apr 2022
- 2023A Survey on Graph Neural Networks for Time Series: Forecasting, Classification, Imputation, and Anomaly Detectioncited by 145
- 2022Scalable Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networkscited by 52
- 2023Taming Local Effects in Graph-based Spatiotemporal Forecastingcited by 37
- 2023Graph Deep Learning for Time Series Forecastingcited by 26
- 2022Sparse Graph Learning from Spatiotemporal Time Seriescited by 22
- 2023Graph-based Time Series Clustering for End-to-End Hierarchical Forecastingcited by 16
- 2025Relational Conformal Prediction for Correlated Time Seriescited by 11
- 2024Joint Estimation and Prediction of City-wide Delivery Demand: A Large Language Model Empowered Graph-based Learning Approachcited by 6
- 2025Over-squashing in Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networkscited by 6
- 2022AZ-whiteness test: a test for uncorrelated noise on spatio-temporal graphscited by 5
- 2024Inferring Latent Temporal Sparse Coordination Graph for Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learningcited by 5
- 2022Contextually Enhanced ES-dRNN with Dynamic Attention for Short-Term Load Forecastingcited by 4
12 most cited of 20 All 20 (JSON)
- 2026AdaKernel: Learning Adaptive Kernel Parameters for Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks31 May 2026
- 2025Select, then Balance: Exploring Exogenous Variable Modeling of Spatio-Temporal Forecasting6 Sep 2025
- 2025Over-squashing in Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks18 Jun 2025
- 2025Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks in short term load forecasting: Does adding Graph Structure in Consumption Data Improve Predictions?14 Feb 2025
- 2025Relational Conformal Prediction for Correlated Time Series13 Feb 2025
- 2024On the Regularization of Learnable Embeddings for Time Series Forecasting18 Oct 2024
- 2024Joint Estimation and Prediction of City-wide Delivery Demand: A Large Language Model Empowered Graph-based Learning Approach30 Aug 2024
- 2024Inferring Latent Temporal Sparse Coordination Graph for Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning28 Mar 2024
- 2023Graph Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting24 Oct 2023
- 2023A Survey on Graph Neural Networks for Time Series: Forecasting, Classification, Imputation, and Anomaly Detection7 Jul 2023
- 2023GEANN: Scalable Graph Augmentations for Multi-Horizon Time Series Forecasting7 Jul 2023
- 2023Contextualizing MLP-Mixers Spatiotemporally for Urban Data Forecast at Scale4 Jul 2023
12 newest of 20 All 20 (JSON)