A Scenario-Based Platform for Testing Autonomous Vehicle Behavior Prediction Models in Simulation
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Abstract (arXiv)
Behavior prediction remains one of the most challenging tasks in the autonomous vehicle (AV) software stack. Forecasting the future trajectories of nearby agents plays a critical role in ensuring road safety, as it equips AVs with the necessary information to plan safe routes of travel. However, these prediction models are data-driven and trained on data collected in real life that may not represent the full range of scenarios an AV can encounter. Hence, it is important that these prediction models are extensively tested in various test scenarios involving interactive behaviors prior to deployment. To support this need, we present a simulation-based testing platform which supports (1) intuitive scenario modeling with a probabilistic programming language called Scenic, (2) specifying a multi-objective evaluation metric with a partial priority ordering, (3) falsification of the provided metric, and (4) parallelization of simulations for scalable testing. As a part of the platform, we provide a library of 25 Scenic programs that model challenging test scenarios involving interactive traffic participant behaviors. We demonstrate the effectiveness and the scalability of our platform by testing a trained behavior prediction model and searching for failure scenarios.
Key facts. Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 23 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 28 Oct 2021.
Builds on
16 of 23 references.
References · 16
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4 more
- 2020Testing the Safety of Self-driving Vehicles by Simulating Perception and Predictioncited by 12
- 2019A Programmatic and Semantic Approach to Explaining and DebuggingNeural Network Based Object Detectorscited by 11
- 2021Parallel and Multi-Objective Falsification with Scenic and VerifAIcited by 8
- 2021Addressing the IEEE AV Test Challenge with Scenic and VerifAIcited by 5
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2021: 1; 2022: 2; 2023: 1; 2024: 0; 2025: 2.
6 papers.
- 2021Vehicle trajectory prediction works, but not everywherecited by 39
- 2023The Integration of Prediction and Planning in Deep Learning Automated Driving Systems: A Reviewcited by 29
- 2025Text2Scenario: Text-Driven Scenario Generation for Autonomous Driving Testcited by 18
- 2022Discovering Closed-Loop Failures of Vision-Based Controllers via Reachability Analysiscited by 5
- 2022Scenario-based Evaluation of Prediction Models for Automated Vehiclescited by 4
- 2025Bayesian Optimization applied for accelerated Virtual Validation of the Autonomous Driving Functioncited by 0
- 2025Bayesian Optimization applied for accelerated Virtual Validation of the Autonomous Driving Function30 Jul 2025
- 2025Text2Scenario: Text-Driven Scenario Generation for Autonomous Driving Test4 Mar 2025
- 2023The Integration of Prediction and Planning in Deep Learning Automated Driving Systems: A Review10 Aug 2023
- 2022Discovering Closed-Loop Failures of Vision-Based Controllers via Reachability Analysis4 Nov 2022
- 2022Scenario-based Evaluation of Prediction Models for Automated Vehicles11 Oct 2022
- 2021Vehicle trajectory prediction works, but not everywhere7 Dec 2021