Nowcasting-Nets: Deep Neural Network Structures for Precipitation Nowcasting Using IMERG
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Abstract (arXiv)
Accurate and timely estimation of precipitation is critical for issuing hazard warnings (e.g., for flash floods or landslides). Current remotely sensed precipitation products have a few hours of latency, associated with the acquisition and processing of satellite data. By applying a robust nowcasting system to these products, it is (in principle) possible to reduce this latency and improve their applicability, value, and impact. However, the development of such a system is complicated by the chaotic nature of the atmosphere, and the consequent rapid changes that can occur in the structures of precipitation systems In this work, we develop two approaches (hereafter referred to as Nowcasting-Nets) that use Recurrent and Convolutional deep neural network structures to address the challenge of precipitation nowcasting. A total of five models are trained using Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) precipitation data over the Eastern Contiguous United States (CONUS) and then tested against independent data for the Eastern and Western CONUS. The models were designed to provide forecasts with a lead time of up to 1.5 hours and, by using a feedback loop approach, the ability of the models to extend the forecast time to 4.5 hours was also investigated. Model performance was compared against the Random Forest (RF) and Linear Regression (LR) machine learning methods, and also against a persistence benchmark (BM) that used the most recent observation as the forecast. Independent IMERG observations were used as a reference, and experiments were conducted to examine both overall statistics and case studies involving specific precipitation events. Overall, the forecasts provided by the Nowcasting-Net models are superior, with the Convolutional Nowcasting Network with Residual Head (CNC-R) achieving 25%, 28%, and 46% improvement in the test ...
Key facts. Cited by 10 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 72 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Aug 2021.
Builds on
16 of 72 references.
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4 more
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- 2019Precipitation nowcasting using a stochastic variational frame predictor with learned prior distributioncited by 4
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 2; 2023: 3; 2024: 3; 2025: 2.
10 papers.
- 2023Foundation Models for Weather and Climate Data Understanding: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 32
- 2025Deep Learning and Foundation Models for Weather Prediction: A Surveycited by 15
- 2024Deep learning for precipitation nowcasting: A survey from the perspective of time series forecastingcited by 14
- 2023A Mass-Conserving-Perceptron for Machine Learning-Based Modeling of Geoscientific Systemscited by 6
- 2024Large-scale flood modeling and forecasting with FloodCastcited by 5
- 2024Using Machine Learning to Discover Parsimonious and Physically-Interpretable Representations of Catchment-Scale Rainfall-Runoff Dynamicscited by 3
- 2023Global Precipitation Nowcasting of Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM: A U-Net Convolutional LSTM Architecturecited by 1
- 2022Application of Machine Learning Methods in Inferring Surface Water Groundwater Exchanges using High Temporal Resolution Temperature Measurementscited by 0
- 2022Tools for Extracting Spatio-Temporal Patterns in Meteorological Image Sequences: From Feature Engineering to Attention-Based Neural Networkscited by 0
- 2025Skillful Nowcasting of Convective Clouds With a Cascade Diffusion Modelcited by 0
- 2025Skillful Nowcasting of Convective Clouds With a Cascade Diffusion Model16 Feb 2025
- 2025Deep Learning and Foundation Models for Weather Prediction: A Survey12 Jan 2025
- 2024Using Machine Learning to Discover Parsimonious and Physically-Interpretable Representations of Catchment-Scale Rainfall-Runoff Dynamics6 Dec 2024
- 2024Deep learning for precipitation nowcasting: A survey from the perspective of time series forecasting7 Jun 2024
- 2024Large-scale flood modeling and forecasting with FloodCast18 Mar 2024
- 2023Foundation Models for Weather and Climate Data Understanding: A Comprehensive Survey5 Dec 2023
- 2023A Mass-Conserving-Perceptron for Machine Learning-Based Modeling of Geoscientific Systems12 Oct 2023
- 2023Global Precipitation Nowcasting of Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM: A U-Net Convolutional LSTM Architecture20 Jul 2023
- 2022Tools for Extracting Spatio-Temporal Patterns in Meteorological Image Sequences: From Feature Engineering to Attention-Based Neural Networks22 Oct 2022
- 2022Application of Machine Learning Methods in Inferring Surface Water Groundwater Exchanges using High Temporal Resolution Temperature Measurements3 Jan 2022