On the Universality of the Double Descent Peak in Ridgeless Regression
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Abstract (arXiv)
We prove a non-asymptotic distribution-independent lower bound for the expected mean squared generalization error caused by label noise in ridgeless linear regression. Our lower bound generalizes a similar known result to the overparameterized (interpolating) regime. In contrast to most previous works, our analysis applies to a broad class of input distributions with almost surely full-rank feature matrices, which allows us to cover various types of deterministic or random feature maps. Our lower bound is asymptotically sharp and implies that in the presence of label noise, ridgeless linear regression does not perform well around the interpolation threshold for any of these feature maps. We analyze the imposed assumptions in detail and provide a theory for analytic (random) feature maps. Using this theory, we can show that our assumptions are satisfied for input distributions with a (Lebesgue) density and feature maps given by random deep neural networks with analytic activation functions like sigmoid, tanh, softplus or GELU. As further examples, we show that feature maps from random Fourier features and polynomial kernels also satisfy our assumptions. We complement our theory with further experimental and analytic results.
Key facts. Cited by 11 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 5 Oct 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 1; 2022: 5; 2023: 1; 2024: 2; 2025: 1; 2026: 1.
11 papers.
- 2022Benign, Tempered, or Catastrophic: A Taxonomy of Overfittingcited by 36
- 2022On the Impossible Safety of Large AI Modelscited by 28
- 2023Mind the spikes: Benign overfitting of kernels and neural networks in fixed dimensioncited by 26
- 2024Order parameters and phase transitions of continual learning in deep neural networkscited by 14
- 2022Monotonicity and Double Descent in Uncertainty Estimation with Gaussian Processescited by 11
- 2025Models of Heavy-Tailed Mechanistic Universalitycited by 10
- 2022A Universal Trade-off Between the Model Size, Test Loss, and Training Loss of Linear Predictorscited by 7
- 2021Data splitting improves statistical performance in overparametrized regimescited by 6
- 2024Overparameterized Multiple Linear Regression as Hyper-Curve Fittingcited by 1
- 2022Regularization Trade-offs with Fake Featurescited by 0
- 2026Deep Exploration of Epoch-wise Double Descent in Noisy Data: Signal Separation, Large Activation, and Benign Overfittingcited by 0
- 2026Deep Exploration of Epoch-wise Double Descent in Noisy Data: Signal Separation, Large Activation, and Benign Overfitting13 Jan 2026
- 2025Models of Heavy-Tailed Mechanistic Universality4 Jun 2025
- 2024Order parameters and phase transitions of continual learning in deep neural networks14 Jul 2024
- 2024Overparameterized Multiple Linear Regression as Hyper-Curve Fitting11 Apr 2024
- 2023Mind the spikes: Benign overfitting of kernels and neural networks in fixed dimension23 May 2023
- 2022Regularization Trade-offs with Fake Features1 Dec 2022
- 2022Monotonicity and Double Descent in Uncertainty Estimation with Gaussian Processes14 Oct 2022
- 2022On the Impossible Safety of Large AI Models30 Sep 2022
- 2022A Universal Trade-off Between the Model Size, Test Loss, and Training Loss of Linear Predictors23 Jul 2022
- 2022Benign, Tempered, or Catastrophic: A Taxonomy of Overfitting14 Jul 2022
- 2021Data splitting improves statistical performance in overparametrized regimes21 Oct 2021