Density-based Stochastic Reachability Computation for Occupancy Prediction in Automated Driving

We propose a stochastic reachability computation framework for occupancy prediction in automated driving by directly solving the underlying transport partial differential equation governing the advection of the closed-loop joint density functions. The resulting nonparametric gridless computation is based on integration along the characteristic curves, and allows online computation of the time-varying collision probabilities. Numerical simulations highlight the scope the proposed method.