Feasible Joint Posterior Beliefs
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Abstract (arXiv)
We study the set of possible joint posterior belief distributions of a group of agents who share a common prior regarding a binary state, and who observe some information structure. For two agents we introduce a quantitative version of Aumann's Agreement Theorem, and show that it is equivalent to a characterization of feasible distributions due to Dawid et al. (1995). For any number of agents, we characterize feasible distributions in terms of a "no-trade" condition. We use these characterizations to study information structures with independent posteriors. We also study persuasion problems with multiple receivers, exploring the extreme feasible distributions.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 26 Feb 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.
1 paper.
- 2026Calibration without Ground Truthcited by 1
- 2026Calibration without Ground Truth27 Jan 2026