Optimal experimental design via Bayesian optimization: active causal structure learning for Gaussian process networks
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Abstract (arXiv)
We study the problem of causal discovery through targeted interventions. Starting from few observational measurements, we follow a Bayesian active learning approach to perform those experiments which, in expectation with respect to the current model, are maximally informative about the underlying causal structure. Unlike previous work, we consider the setting of continuous random variables with non-linear functional relationships, modelled with Gaussian process priors. To address the arising problem of choosing from an uncountable set of possible interventions, we propose to use Bayesian optimisation to efficiently maximise a Monte Carlo estimate of the expected information gain.
Key facts. Cited by 18 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 9 Oct 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 1; 2022: 4; 2023: 4; 2024: 7; 2025: 2.
18 papers.
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- 2023Modern Bayesian Experimental Designcited by 125
- 2021DiBS: Differentiable Bayesian Structure Learningcited by 106
- 2023Joint Bayesian Inference of Graphical Structure and Parameters with a Single Generative Flow Networkcited by 50
- 2022Interventions, Where and How? Experimental Design for Causal Models at Scalecited by 49
- 2022Causal Structure Learning: a Combinatorial Perspectivecited by 46
- 2024InfoNCE: Identifying the Gap Between Theory and Practicecited by 40
- 2022Active Bayesian Causal Inferencecited by 35
- 2023Differentiable Multi-Target Causal Bayesian Experimental Designcited by 15
- 2022Causal Entropy Optimizationcited by 13
- 2024Identifiable Causal Representation Learning: Unsupervised, Multi-View, and Multi-Environmentcited by 12
- 2024Stopping Bayesian Optimization with Probabilistic Regret Boundscited by 11
- 2024Effective Bayesian Causal Inference via Structural Marginalisation and Autoregressive Orderscited by 6
6 more
- 2024Targeted Sequential Indirect Experiment Designcited by 4
- 2025JADAI: Jointly Amortizing Adaptive Design and Bayesian Inferencecited by 4
- 2024Bayesian Causal Inference with Gaussian Process Networkscited by 3
- 2025Goal-Oriented Sequential Bayesian Experimental Design for Causal Learningcited by 2
- 2024Graph Agnostic Causal Bayesian Optimisationcited by 1
- 2023Estimation of Counterfactual Interventions under Uncertaintiescited by 0
- 2025JADAI: Jointly Amortizing Adaptive Design and Bayesian Inference28 Dec 2025
- 2025Goal-Oriented Sequential Bayesian Experimental Design for Causal Learning10 Jul 2025
- 2024Graph Agnostic Causal Bayesian Optimisation5 Nov 2024
- 2024InfoNCE: Identifying the Gap Between Theory and Practice28 Jun 2024
- 2024Identifiable Causal Representation Learning: Unsupervised, Multi-View, and Multi-Environment19 Jun 2024
- 2024Targeted Sequential Indirect Experiment Design30 May 2024
- 2024Stopping Bayesian Optimization with Probabilistic Regret Bounds26 Feb 2024
- 2024Effective Bayesian Causal Inference via Structural Marginalisation and Autoregressive Orders22 Feb 2024
- 2024Bayesian Causal Inference with Gaussian Process Networks1 Feb 2024
- 2023Estimation of Counterfactual Interventions under Uncertainties15 Sep 2023
- 2023Joint Bayesian Inference of Graphical Structure and Parameters with a Single Generative Flow Network30 May 2023
- 2023Modern Bayesian Experimental Design28 Feb 2023
6 more
- 2023Differentiable Multi-Target Causal Bayesian Experimental Design21 Feb 2023
- 2022Causal Entropy Optimization23 Aug 2022
- 2022Active Bayesian Causal Inference4 Jun 2022
- 2022Causal Structure Learning: a Combinatorial Perspective2 Jun 2022
- 2022Interventions, Where and How? Experimental Design for Causal Models at Scale3 Mar 2022
- 2021DiBS: Differentiable Bayesian Structure Learning25 May 2021
- 2023Modern Bayesian Experimental Designcited by 125
- 2021DiBS: Differentiable Bayesian Structure Learningcited by 106
- 2023Joint Bayesian Inference of Graphical Structure and Parameters with a Single Generative Flow Networkcited by 50
- 2022Interventions, Where and How? Experimental Design for Causal Models at Scalecited by 49
- 2022Causal Structure Learning: a Combinatorial Perspectivecited by 46
- 2024InfoNCE: Identifying the Gap Between Theory and Practicecited by 40
- 2022Active Bayesian Causal Inferencecited by 35
- 2023Differentiable Multi-Target Causal Bayesian Experimental Designcited by 15
- 2022Causal Entropy Optimizationcited by 13
- 2024Identifiable Causal Representation Learning: Unsupervised, Multi-View, and Multi-Environmentcited by 12
- 2024Stopping Bayesian Optimization with Probabilistic Regret Boundscited by 11
- 2024Effective Bayesian Causal Inference via Structural Marginalisation and Autoregressive Orderscited by 6
12 most cited of 18 All 18 (JSON)
- 2025JADAI: Jointly Amortizing Adaptive Design and Bayesian Inference28 Dec 2025
- 2025Goal-Oriented Sequential Bayesian Experimental Design for Causal Learning10 Jul 2025
- 2024Graph Agnostic Causal Bayesian Optimisation5 Nov 2024
- 2024InfoNCE: Identifying the Gap Between Theory and Practice28 Jun 2024
- 2024Identifiable Causal Representation Learning: Unsupervised, Multi-View, and Multi-Environment19 Jun 2024
- 2024Targeted Sequential Indirect Experiment Design30 May 2024
- 2024Stopping Bayesian Optimization with Probabilistic Regret Bounds26 Feb 2024
- 2024Effective Bayesian Causal Inference via Structural Marginalisation and Autoregressive Orders22 Feb 2024
- 2024Bayesian Causal Inference with Gaussian Process Networks1 Feb 2024
- 2023Estimation of Counterfactual Interventions under Uncertainties15 Sep 2023
- 2023Joint Bayesian Inference of Graphical Structure and Parameters with a Single Generative Flow Network30 May 2023
- 2023Modern Bayesian Experimental Design28 Feb 2023
12 newest of 18 All 18 (JSON)