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Optimal experimental design via Bayesian optimization: active causal structure learning for Gaussian process networks

arXiv 1910.03962 ↗First posted 9 Oct 2019stat.ML cs.LGcited by 18

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Abstract (arXiv)

We study the problem of causal discovery through targeted interventions. Starting from few observational measurements, we follow a Bayesian active learning approach to perform those experiments which, in expectation with respect to the current model, are maximally informative about the underlying causal structure. Unlike previous work, we consider the setting of continuous random variables with non-linear functional relationships, modelled with Gaussian process priors. To address the arising problem of choosing from an uncountable set of possible interventions, we propose to use Bayesian optimisation to efficiently maximise a Monte Carlo estimate of the expected information gain.

Key facts. Cited by 18 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 9 Oct 2019.

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