Towards neural networks that provably know when they don't know
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Abstract (arXiv)
It has recently been shown that ReLU networks produce arbitrarily over-confident predictions far away from the training data. Thus, ReLU networks do not know when they don't know. However, this is a highly important property in safety critical applications. In the context of out-of-distribution detection (OOD) there have been a number of proposals to mitigate this problem but none of them are able to make any mathematical guarantees. In this paper we propose a new approach to OOD which overcomes both problems. Our approach can be used with ReLU networks and provides provably low confidence predictions far away from the training data as well as the first certificates for low confidence predictions in a neighborhood of an out-distribution point. In the experiments we show that state-of-the-art methods fail in this worst-case setting whereas our model can guarantee its performance while retaining state-of-the-art OOD performance.
Key facts. Cited by 69 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 26 Sep 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 19; 2022: 18; 2023: 14; 2024: 10; 2025: 3; 2026: 5.
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- 2021Generalized Out-of-Distribution Detection: A Surveycited by 796
- 2022Out-of-Distribution Detection with Deep Nearest Neighborscited by 596
- 2021DICE: Leveraging Sparsification for Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 166
- 2021SegmentMeIfYouCan: A Benchmark for Anomaly Segmentationcited by 150
- 2023Non-Parametric Outlier Synthesiscited by 129
- 2022POEM: Out-of-Distribution Detection with Posterior Samplingcited by 108
- 2022The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Random Pruning: Return of the Most Naive Baseline for Sparse Trainingcited by 85
- 2023Provable Dynamic Fusion for Low-Quality Multimodal Datacited by 81
- 2021Graph Posterior Network: Bayesian Predictive Uncertainty for Node Classificationcited by 79
- 2023Dream the Impossible: Outlier Imagination with Diffusion Modelscited by 77
- 2021SmoothMix: Training Confidence-calibrated Smoothed Classifiers for Certified Robustnesscited by 49
- 2022A Simple Approach to Improve Single-Model Deep Uncertainty via Distance-Awarenesscited by 49
38 more
- 2022Accountability in an Algorithmic Society: Relationality, Responsibility, and Robustness in Machine Learningcited by 47
- 2021Deep Ensembling with No Overhead for either Training or Testing: The All-Round Blessings of Dynamic Sparsitycited by 44
- 2022Partial and Asymmetric Contrastive Learning for Out-of-Distribution Detection in Long-Tailed Recognitioncited by 44
- 2023ID-like Prompt Learning for Few-Shot Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 42
- 2021How to Certify Machine Learning Based Safety-critical Systems? A Systematic Literature Reviewcited by 36
- 2024How Does Unlabeled Data Provably Help Out-of-Distribution Detection?cited by 36
- 2021Inspect, Understand, Overcome: A Survey of Practical Methods for AI Safetycited by 35
- 2022iDECODe: In-distribution Equivariance for Conformal Out-of-distribution Detectioncited by 27
- 2022Disentangling Epistemic and Aleatoric Uncertainty in Reinforcement Learningcited by 27
- 2021Uncertainty-Aware Reliable Text Classificationcited by 23
- 2022Breaking Down Out-of-Distribution Detection: Many Methods Based on OOD Training Data Estimate a Combination of the Same Core Quantitiescited by 23
- 2021Taxonomy of Machine Learning Safety: A Survey and Primercited by 22
- 2022Two Video Data Sets for Tracking and Retrieval of Out of Distribution Objectscited by 19
- 2021Provably Robust Detection of Out-of-distribution Data (almost) for freecited by 17
- 2023DOS: Diverse Outlier Sampling for Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 16
- 2023EAT: Towards Long-Tailed Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 16
- 2021Being a Bit Frequentist Improves Bayesian Neural Networkscited by 15
- 2023How to Overcome Curse-of-Dimensionality for Out-of-Distribution Detection?cited by 15
- 2021CODEs: Chamfer Out-of-Distribution Examples against Overconfidence Issuecited by 14
- 2021Natural Posterior Network: Deep Bayesian Uncertainty for Exponential Family Distributionscited by 13
- 2023Density-Softmax: Efficient Test-time Model for Uncertainty Estimation and Robustness under Distribution Shiftscited by 12
- 2023AUTO: Adaptive Outlier Optimization for Test-Time OOD Detectioncited by 12
- 2021SoK: Machine Learning Governancecited by 9
- 2024Forte : Finding Outliers with Representation Typicality Estimationcited by 9
- 2021Responsible and Regulatory Conform Machine Learning for Medicine: A Survey of Challenges and Solutionscited by 7
- 2022Test-Time Adaptation for Visual Document Understandingcited by 6
- 2024Out-of-Distribution Data: An Acquaintance of Adversarial Examples -- A Surveycited by 6
- 2024When and How Does In-Distribution Label Help Out-of-Distribution Detection?cited by 6
- 2024Out-Of-Distribution Detection with Diversification (Provably)cited by 6
- 2023DeepLens: Interactive Out-of-distribution Data Detection in NLP Modelscited by 5
- 2023Diffusion Denoised Smoothing for Certified and Adversarial Robust Out-Of-Distribution Detectioncited by 5
- 2021Task-Driven Detection of Distribution Shifts with Statistical Guarantees for Robot Learningcited by 4
- 2021Explanatory Pluralism in Explainable AIcited by 4
- 2022Detecting and Learning the Unknown in Semantic Segmentationcited by 4
- 2022On Attacking Out-Domain Uncertainty Estimation in Deep Neural Networkscited by 4
- 2024Your Classifier Can Be Secretly a Likelihood-Based OOD Detectorcited by 4
- 2022Explanatory Learning: Beyond Empiricism in Neural Networkscited by 3
- 2024Hyperbolic Metric Learning for Visual Outlier Detectioncited by 3
50 most cited of 69 All 69 (JSON)
- 2026Operational Range Bounding in Spectroscopy: A Safety Cage Framework for Machine Learning Models11 Sep 2026
- 2026Vision-Language Model Confidence Is Not a Property of the Answer6 Aug 2026
- 2026Trust The Typical4 Feb 2026
- 2026Catalyst: Out-of-Distribution Detection via Elastic Scaling2 Feb 2026
- 2026Optimal Transport-Induced Samples against Out-of-Distribution Overconfidence29 Jan 2026
- 2025Medix: Out-of-Distribution Detection from Unlabeled Wild Data via Robust Gradient Statistics7 Oct 2025
- 2025Open Set Label Shift with Test Time Out-of-Distribution Reference9 May 2025
- 2025Open-set Anomaly Segmentation in Complex Scenarios28 Apr 2025
- 2024Out-Of-Distribution Detection with Diversification (Provably)21 Nov 2024
- 2024Out-of-Distribution Detection with Relative Angles6 Oct 2024
- 2024Forte : Finding Outliers with Representation Typicality Estimation2 Oct 2024
- 2024Your Classifier Can Be Secretly a Likelihood-Based OOD Detector9 Aug 2024
38 more
- 2024Gradient Boosting Reinforcement Learning11 Jul 2024
- 2024When and How Does In-Distribution Label Help Out-of-Distribution Detection?28 May 2024
- 2024Adaptive Catalyst Discovery Using Multicriteria Bayesian Optimization with Representation Learning18 Apr 2024
- 2024Out-of-Distribution Data: An Acquaintance of Adversarial Examples -- A Survey8 Apr 2024
- 2024Hyperbolic Metric Learning for Visual Outlier Detection22 Mar 2024
- 2024How Does Unlabeled Data Provably Help Out-of-Distribution Detection?5 Feb 2024
- 2023How to Overcome Curse-of-Dimensionality for Out-of-Distribution Detection?22 Dec 2023
- 2023EAT: Towards Long-Tailed Out-of-Distribution Detection14 Dec 2023
- 2023ID-like Prompt Learning for Few-Shot Out-of-Distribution Detection26 Nov 2023
- 2023RankFeat&RankWeight: Rank-1 Feature/Weight Removal for Out-of-distribution Detection23 Nov 2023
- 2023Incremental Object-Based Novelty Detection with Feedback Loop15 Nov 2023
- 2023Preventing Arbitrarily High Confidence on Far-Away Data in Point-Estimated Discriminative Neural Networks7 Nov 2023
- 2023Dream the Impossible: Outlier Imagination with Diffusion Models23 Sep 2023
- 2023Provable Dynamic Fusion for Low-Quality Multimodal Data3 Jun 2023
- 2023DOS: Diverse Outlier Sampling for Out-of-Distribution Detection3 Jun 2023
- 2023Diffusion Denoised Smoothing for Certified and Adversarial Robust Out-Of-Distribution Detection27 Mar 2023
- 2023AUTO: Adaptive Outlier Optimization for Test-Time OOD Detection22 Mar 2023
- 2023Non-Parametric Outlier Synthesis6 Mar 2023
- 2023DeepLens: Interactive Out-of-distribution Data Detection in NLP Models2 Mar 2023
- 2023Density-Softmax: Efficient Test-time Model for Uncertainty Estimation and Robustness under Distribution Shifts13 Feb 2023
- 2022Two Video Data Sets for Tracking and Retrieval of Out of Distribution Objects5 Oct 2022
- 2022On Attacking Out-Domain Uncertainty Estimation in Deep Neural Networks3 Oct 2022
- 2022Understanding Open-Set Recognition by Jacobian Norm and Inter-Class Separation23 Sep 2022
- 2022Evaluating Out-of-Distribution Detectors Through Adversarial Generation of Outliers20 Aug 2022
- 2022Partial and Asymmetric Contrastive Learning for Out-of-Distribution Detection in Long-Tailed Recognition4 Jul 2022
- 2022POEM: Out-of-Distribution Detection with Posterior Sampling28 Jun 2022
- 2022Breaking Down Out-of-Distribution Detection: Many Methods Based on OOD Training Data Estimate a Combination of the Same Core Quantities20 Jun 2022
- 2022Test-Time Adaptation for Visual Document Understanding15 Jun 2022
- 2022Disentangling Epistemic and Aleatoric Uncertainty in Reinforcement Learning3 Jun 2022
- 2022Uncertainty Quantification and Resource-Demanding Computer Vision Applications of Deep Learning30 May 2022
- 2022A Simple Approach to Improve Single-Model Deep Uncertainty via Distance-Awareness1 May 2022
- 2022Out-of-Distribution Detection with Deep Nearest Neighbors13 Apr 2022
- 2022Accelerated Design and Deployment of Low-Carbon Concrete for Data Centers11 Apr 2022
- 2022Detecting and Learning the Unknown in Semantic Segmentation17 Feb 2022
- 2022Accountability in an Algorithmic Society: Relationality, Responsibility, and Robustness in Machine Learning10 Feb 2022
- 2022The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Random Pruning: Return of the Most Naive Baseline for Sparse Training5 Feb 2022
- 2022Explanatory Learning: Beyond Empiricism in Neural Networks25 Jan 2022
- 2022iDECODe: In-distribution Equivariance for Conformal Out-of-distribution Detection7 Jan 2022
50 newest of 69 All 69 (JSON)
- 2026Trust The Typicalcited by 3
- 2026Trust The Typical4 Feb 2026
- 2021Generalized Out-of-Distribution Detection: A Surveycited by 796
- 2022Out-of-Distribution Detection with Deep Nearest Neighborscited by 596
- 2021DICE: Leveraging Sparsification for Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 166
- 2021SegmentMeIfYouCan: A Benchmark for Anomaly Segmentationcited by 150
- 2023Non-Parametric Outlier Synthesiscited by 129
- 2022POEM: Out-of-Distribution Detection with Posterior Samplingcited by 108
- 2022The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Random Pruning: Return of the Most Naive Baseline for Sparse Trainingcited by 85
- 2023Provable Dynamic Fusion for Low-Quality Multimodal Datacited by 81
- 2021Graph Posterior Network: Bayesian Predictive Uncertainty for Node Classificationcited by 79
- 2021SmoothMix: Training Confidence-calibrated Smoothed Classifiers for Certified Robustnesscited by 49
- 2022A Simple Approach to Improve Single-Model Deep Uncertainty via Distance-Awarenesscited by 49
- 2022Accountability in an Algorithmic Society: Relationality, Responsibility, and Robustness in Machine Learningcited by 47
12 most cited of 67 All 67 (JSON)
- 2026Operational Range Bounding in Spectroscopy: A Safety Cage Framework for Machine Learning Models11 Sep 2026
- 2026Vision-Language Model Confidence Is Not a Property of the Answer6 Aug 2026
- 2026Catalyst: Out-of-Distribution Detection via Elastic Scaling2 Feb 2026
- 2026Optimal Transport-Induced Samples against Out-of-Distribution Overconfidence29 Jan 2026
- 2025Medix: Out-of-Distribution Detection from Unlabeled Wild Data via Robust Gradient Statistics7 Oct 2025
- 2025Open Set Label Shift with Test Time Out-of-Distribution Reference9 May 2025
- 2025Open-set Anomaly Segmentation in Complex Scenarios28 Apr 2025
- 2024Out-Of-Distribution Detection with Diversification (Provably)21 Nov 2024
- 2024Out-of-Distribution Detection with Relative Angles6 Oct 2024
- 2024Forte : Finding Outliers with Representation Typicality Estimation2 Oct 2024
- 2024Your Classifier Can Be Secretly a Likelihood-Based OOD Detector9 Aug 2024
- 2024Gradient Boosting Reinforcement Learning11 Jul 2024
12 newest of 67 All 67 (JSON)