Mining for Dark Matter Substructure: Inferring subhalo population properties from strong lenses with machine learning
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Abstract (arXiv)
The subtle and unique imprint of dark matter substructure on extended arcs in strong lensing systems contains a wealth of information about the properties and distribution of dark matter on small scales and, consequently, about the underlying particle physics. However, teasing out this effect poses a significant challenge since the likelihood function for realistic simulations of population-level parameters is intractable. We apply recently-developed simulation-based inference techniques to the problem of substructure inference in galaxy-galaxy strong lenses. By leveraging additional information extracted from the simulator, neural networks are efficiently trained to estimate likelihood ratios associated with population-level parameters characterizing substructure. Through proof-of-principle application to simulated data, we show that these methods can provide an efficient and principled way to simultaneously analyze an ensemble of strong lenses, and can be used to mine the large sample of lensing images deliverable by near-future surveys for signatures of dark matter substructure.
Key facts. Cited by 15 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 4 Sep 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 5; 2022: 3; 2023: 3; 2024: 0; 2025: 2; 2026: 2.
15 papers.
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- 2021A Living Review of Machine Learning for Particle Physicscited by 77
- 2023Sampling-Based Accuracy Testing of Posterior Estimators for General Inferencecited by 45
- 2021A Trust Crisis In Simulation-Based Inference? Your Posterior Approximations Can Be Unfaithfulcited by 27
- 2021HNPE: Leveraging Global Parameters for Neural Posterior Estimationcited by 17
- 2023Evidence Networks: simple losses for fast, amortized, neural Bayesian model comparisoncited by 10
- 2023Hierarchical Neural Simulation-Based Inference Over Event Ensemblescited by 8
- 2022Machine Learning and Cosmologycited by 6
- 2021Simulation-based Bayesian inference for multi-fingered robotic graspingcited by 5
- 2021Inferring dark matter substructure with astrometric lensing beyond the power spectrumcited by 4
- 2025Simulation-based inference for Precision Neutrino Physics through Neural Monte Carlo tuningcited by 2
- 2022Sensitivity Estimation for Dark Matter Subhalos in Synthetic Gaia DR2 using Deep Learningcited by 0
- 2022Strong Gravitational Lensing Parameter Estimation with Vision Transformercited by 0
3 more
- 2025Masked Autoencoder Pretraining on Strong-Lensing Images for Joint Dark-Matter Model Classification and Super-Resolutioncited by 0
- 2026Program Synthesis for Simulation-Based Inference: Joint Model Selection and Parameter Estimationcited by 0
- 2026Mitigating Representation Gaps in Amortized Bayesian Inference with Auxiliary Supervisioncited by 0
- 2026Mitigating Representation Gaps in Amortized Bayesian Inference with Auxiliary Supervision30 Sep 2026
- 2026Program Synthesis for Simulation-Based Inference: Joint Model Selection and Parameter Estimation20 Jul 2026
- 2025Masked Autoencoder Pretraining on Strong-Lensing Images for Joint Dark-Matter Model Classification and Super-Resolution7 Dec 2025
- 2025Simulation-based inference for Precision Neutrino Physics through Neural Monte Carlo tuning31 Jul 2025
- 2023Hierarchical Neural Simulation-Based Inference Over Event Ensembles21 Jun 2023
- 2023Evidence Networks: simple losses for fast, amortized, neural Bayesian model comparison18 May 2023
- 2023Sampling-Based Accuracy Testing of Posterior Estimators for General Inference6 Feb 2023
- 2022Strong Gravitational Lensing Parameter Estimation with Vision Transformer9 Oct 2022
- 2022Sensitivity Estimation for Dark Matter Subhalos in Synthetic Gaia DR2 using Deep Learning15 Mar 2022
- 2022Machine Learning and Cosmology15 Mar 2022
- 2021A Trust Crisis In Simulation-Based Inference? Your Posterior Approximations Can Be Unfaithful13 Oct 2021
- 2021Inferring dark matter substructure with astrometric lensing beyond the power spectrum4 Oct 2021
3 more
- 2021A Living Review of Machine Learning for Particle Physicscited by 77
- 2023Sampling-Based Accuracy Testing of Posterior Estimators for General Inferencecited by 45
- 2021A Trust Crisis In Simulation-Based Inference? Your Posterior Approximations Can Be Unfaithfulcited by 27
- 2021HNPE: Leveraging Global Parameters for Neural Posterior Estimationcited by 17
- 2023Evidence Networks: simple losses for fast, amortized, neural Bayesian model comparisoncited by 10
- 2023Hierarchical Neural Simulation-Based Inference Over Event Ensemblescited by 8
- 2022Machine Learning and Cosmologycited by 6
- 2021Simulation-based Bayesian inference for multi-fingered robotic graspingcited by 5
- 2021Inferring dark matter substructure with astrometric lensing beyond the power spectrumcited by 4
- 2025Simulation-based inference for Precision Neutrino Physics through Neural Monte Carlo tuningcited by 2
- 2022Sensitivity Estimation for Dark Matter Subhalos in Synthetic Gaia DR2 using Deep Learningcited by 0
- 2022Strong Gravitational Lensing Parameter Estimation with Vision Transformercited by 0
12 most cited of 15 All 15 (JSON)
- 2026Mitigating Representation Gaps in Amortized Bayesian Inference with Auxiliary Supervision30 Sep 2026
- 2026Program Synthesis for Simulation-Based Inference: Joint Model Selection and Parameter Estimation20 Jul 2026
- 2025Masked Autoencoder Pretraining on Strong-Lensing Images for Joint Dark-Matter Model Classification and Super-Resolution7 Dec 2025
- 2025Simulation-based inference for Precision Neutrino Physics through Neural Monte Carlo tuning31 Jul 2025
- 2023Hierarchical Neural Simulation-Based Inference Over Event Ensembles21 Jun 2023
- 2023Evidence Networks: simple losses for fast, amortized, neural Bayesian model comparison18 May 2023
- 2023Sampling-Based Accuracy Testing of Posterior Estimators for General Inference6 Feb 2023
- 2022Strong Gravitational Lensing Parameter Estimation with Vision Transformer9 Oct 2022
- 2022Sensitivity Estimation for Dark Matter Subhalos in Synthetic Gaia DR2 using Deep Learning15 Mar 2022
- 2022Machine Learning and Cosmology15 Mar 2022
- 2021A Trust Crisis In Simulation-Based Inference? Your Posterior Approximations Can Be Unfaithful13 Oct 2021
- 2021Inferring dark matter substructure with astrometric lensing beyond the power spectrum4 Oct 2021
12 newest of 15 All 15 (JSON)