Uncertainty Decomposition in Bayesian Neural Networks with Latent Variables
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Abstract (arXiv)
Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with latent variables are probabilistic models which can automatically identify complex stochastic patterns in the data. We describe and study in these models a decomposition of predictive uncertainty into its epistemic and aleatoric components. First, we show how such a decomposition arises naturally in a Bayesian active learning scenario by following an information theoretic approach. Second, we use a similar decomposition to develop a novel risk sensitive objective for safe reinforcement learning (RL). This objective minimizes the effect of model bias in environments whose stochastic dynamics are described by BNNs with latent variables. Our experiments illustrate the usefulness of the resulting decomposition in active learning and safe RL settings.
Key facts. Cited by 9 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 26 Jun 2017.
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Citing papers per year: 2020: 1; 2021: 2; 2022: 1; 2023: 1; 2024: 2; 2025: 2.
9 papers.
- 2024Uncertainty Quantification for In-Context Learning of Large Language Modelscited by 45
- 2021Diverse, Global and Amortised Counterfactual Explanations for Uncertainty Estimatescited by 19
- 2020Active Imitation Learning from Multiple Non-Deterministic Teachers: Formulation, Challenges, and Algorithmscited by 4
- 2023RE-MOVE: An Adaptive Policy Design for Robotic Navigation Tasks in Dynamic Environments via Language-Based Feedbackcited by 3
- 2025HopCast: Calibration of Autoregressive Dynamics Modelscited by 3
- 2022Selective classification using a robust meta-learning approachcited by 2
- 2024Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Neural Network for Uncertainty Quantification in Transonic Aerodynamic Loadscited by 2
- 2025Exploring Efficient Quantification of Modeling Uncertainties with Differentiable Physics-Informed Machine Learning Architecturescited by 1
- 2021An Offline Risk-aware Policy Selection Method for Bayesian Markov Decision Processescited by 0
- 2025Exploring Efficient Quantification of Modeling Uncertainties with Differentiable Physics-Informed Machine Learning Architectures23 Jun 2025
- 2025HopCast: Calibration of Autoregressive Dynamics Models27 Jan 2025
- 2024Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Neural Network for Uncertainty Quantification in Transonic Aerodynamic Loads8 Jul 2024
- 2024Uncertainty Quantification for In-Context Learning of Large Language Models15 Feb 2024
- 2023RE-MOVE: An Adaptive Policy Design for Robotic Navigation Tasks in Dynamic Environments via Language-Based Feedback14 Mar 2023
- 2022Selective classification using a robust meta-learning approach12 Dec 2022
- 2021Diverse, Global and Amortised Counterfactual Explanations for Uncertainty Estimates5 Dec 2021
- 2021An Offline Risk-aware Policy Selection Method for Bayesian Markov Decision Processes27 May 2021
- 2020Active Imitation Learning from Multiple Non-Deterministic Teachers: Formulation, Challenges, and Algorithms14 Jun 2020