Does Location Matter? A Black-Box Causal Audit Reveals Model-Dependent Audio Grounding in LALM Hallucination

Large audio-language models (LALMs) frequently exhibit object hallucination, affirming absent sounds. The dominant mitigation, Audio-Aware Decoding (AAD), contrasts logits under real audio against an all-zero "blank" waveform, flagged by prior review as out-of-distribution. We introduce a black-box causal test that isolates the claimed evidence itself: localize a claim's evidence region via CLAP similarity, remove it by spectral gating, and compare against a random-window control across a 2x2x2 grid on three LALMs. On Qwen2-Audio-7B, localized ablation's raw AUROC trails blank's (0.613 vs. 0.721); this is a duration confound, not a localization failure, since blank removes the entire clip versus the grid's 2-4 s. Holding duration fixed, localization beats random removal at every cell on both models. Raw detection value remains model-dependent, especially on Audio Flamingo 3. The same evidence corrects decoding: contrastive decoding combining blank and language-prior contrasts, gated and ensembled, raises Qwen2-Audio accuracy from 57.1% to 71.9%, beating AAD alone. A unified causal-grounding profile does not transfer between models, indicating different grounding regimes. The source code and a detailed report of our findings, including identified limitations, are available at https://github.com/khalooei/causa.