Cognition-Oriented Emotion Tracing from Causes to Consequences in Real-World Social Scenes

Affective computing has progressed from categorical emotion recognition to open-ended affective analysis with large multimodal models. Yet affective science describes emotion as an unfolding process shaped by appraisal, regulation, and social interpretation, which remains underexplored computationally. We propose TRACE, a cognition-oriented framework that formalizes an affective episode through three interrelated stages: Condition, Affect, and Effect, integrating observable cues with cognitive factors such as internal stance and regulation of emotional display. Based on this formulation, TRACE-Bench evaluates multimodal models in real-world social scenes through five tasks spanning grounded affect recognition, regulation decoding, cause reasoning, effect reasoning, and full-chain reconstruction, with 3,746 structured question-answer pairs over 646 videos. A matched human-model comparison reveals a substantial performance gap, while affect-specialized models also generally lag behind general-purpose MLLMs. Model outputs show recurring failures, including treating displayed behavior as genuine feeling and fabricating unsupported events during long-chain generation. We further propose TRACER, a cognition-grounded structured reasoning method that couples each inference with explicit premises from factual observations, cognitive appraisals, and established upstream conclusions, forming a traceable graph of intermediate and target conclusions. TRACER outperforms all evaluated model baselines on each of the five tasks. Project page: https://cogaffc.github.io/TRACE