mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

KALEIDO: Input-Space Adaptation of a Vision Model for Time-Series Forecasting Through Gated Fold Geometries

arXiv 2610.04786 ↗First posted 3 Oct 2026cs.LG cs.CVcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Time-series foundation models buy zero-shot forecasting with large temporal corpora; a vision model needs none, since a natural image implicitly embeds the patterns a forecaster must model, and an ImageNet-pretrained masked autoencoder forecasts a series by inpainting a rendering of it. A rendered series is not a natural image, however, and closing that gap takes temporal-aware adaptation. We show that the rendering geometry - how the series is folded and drawn - is a controllable, mixable axis for it. Kaleido detects the dominant periods, renders a rule-generated set of fold geometries, combines the inpaintings with a convex per-position gate fit on validation only, and fuses the result with the zero-shot output at one fixed share, with no per-dataset hyperparameter beyond the baseline's published settings. Training only LayerNorm (0.05%), Kaleido lowers MSE by 13% against the published zero-shot baseline on LTSF and, frozen, by 6.6%; on GIFT-Eval it improves the baseline by 7.4% in MASE and 19.3% in CRPS.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 12 of its 14 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 3 Oct 2026.

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12 of 14 references.

References · 12

  1. 2021Masked Autoencoders Are Scalable Vision Learnerscited by 7,403
  2. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
  3. 2022TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysiscited by 1,058
  4. 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 759
  5. 2023One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LMcited by 632
  6. 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 614
  7. 2024GIFT-Eval: A Benchmark For General Time Series Forecasting Model Evaluationcited by 212
  8. 2024VisionTS: Visual Masked Autoencoders Are Free-Lunch Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasterscited by 88
  9. 2025VisionTS++: Cross-Modal Time Series Foundation Model with Continual Pre-trained Vision Backbonescited by 12
  10. 2025Multi-Modal View Enhanced Large Vision Models for Long-Term Time Series Forecastingcited by 9
  11. 2025Times2D: Multi-Period Decomposition and Derivative Mapping for General Time Series Forecastingcited by 6
  12. 2026SSDA: Bridging Spectral and Structural Gaps via Dual Adaptation for Vision-Based Time Series Forecastingcited by 1

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