KALEIDO: Input-Space Adaptation of a Vision Model for Time-Series Forecasting Through Gated Fold Geometries
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Abstract (arXiv)
Time-series foundation models buy zero-shot forecasting with large temporal corpora; a vision model needs none, since a natural image implicitly embeds the patterns a forecaster must model, and an ImageNet-pretrained masked autoencoder forecasts a series by inpainting a rendering of it. A rendered series is not a natural image, however, and closing that gap takes temporal-aware adaptation. We show that the rendering geometry - how the series is folded and drawn - is a controllable, mixable axis for it. Kaleido detects the dominant periods, renders a rule-generated set of fold geometries, combines the inpaintings with a convex per-position gate fit on validation only, and fuses the result with the zero-shot output at one fixed share, with no per-dataset hyperparameter beyond the baseline's published settings. Training only LayerNorm (0.05%), Kaleido lowers MSE by 13% against the published zero-shot baseline on LTSF and, frozen, by 6.6%; on GIFT-Eval it improves the baseline by 7.4% in MASE and 19.3% in CRPS.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 12 of its 14 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 3 Oct 2026.
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References · 12
- 2021Masked Autoencoders Are Scalable Vision Learnerscited by 7,403
- 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
- 2022TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysiscited by 1,058
- 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 759
- 2023One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LMcited by 632
- 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 614
- 2024GIFT-Eval: A Benchmark For General Time Series Forecasting Model Evaluationcited by 212
- 2024VisionTS: Visual Masked Autoencoders Are Free-Lunch Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasterscited by 88
- 2025VisionTS++: Cross-Modal Time Series Foundation Model with Continual Pre-trained Vision Backbonescited by 12
- 2025Multi-Modal View Enhanced Large Vision Models for Long-Term Time Series Forecastingcited by 9
- 2025Times2D: Multi-Period Decomposition and Derivative Mapping for General Time Series Forecastingcited by 6
- 2026SSDA: Bridging Spectral and Structural Gaps via Dual Adaptation for Vision-Based Time Series Forecastingcited by 1
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