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M2Weather: A Benchmark for Joint Multi-Station and Multi-Variable Weather Forecasting

arXiv 2610.00370 ↗First posted 30 Sep 2026cs.LG stat.MLcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Station weather forecasting is fundamentally shaped by both complex spatial dependencies across stations and strong physical coupling among weather variables. However, existing studies often consider these relationships separately and use different datasets and experimental settings, hindering systematic assessment of their individual and joint contributions. In this paper, we introduce M2Weather, a benchmark for joint multi-station and multi-variable weather forecasting. Through multi-criteria quality control and station stratification, we collect 2,809 high-quality stations with 5 physically coupled weather variables across three spatial scales: France, Europe, and Global. This multi-scale design lets us examine whether conclusions persist from national to global station networks. We also introduce unified training and evaluation protocols to enable fair comparison of different station-variable modeling paradigms. To further examine the benefits of modeling station-variable relationships, we design a lightweight, plug-and-play adapter. With a trained weather forecasting model, this adapter can introduce missing station or variable relationships without retraining the model. This enables fair and efficient investigation of station-variable relationships. Systematic evaluation of 16 representative models shows the benefits of jointly modeling station and variable relationships. Completing missing relationships further reduces MSE for all adapted models on all three datasets. Together, these results identify the complementary information across stations and variables as an important resource for improving station weather forecasting. Our code can be obtained at https://github.com/hnu-vis/M2-Weather.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 24 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 30 Sep 2026.

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16 of 24 references.

References · 16

  1. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 1,981
  2. 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,400
  3. 2023iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecastingcited by 906
  4. 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 588
  5. 2024Time-MoE: Billion-Scale Time Series Foundation Models with Mixture of Expertscited by 280
  6. 2024Timer: Generative Pre-trained Transformers Are Large Time Series Modelscited by 198
  7. 2024DUET: Dual Clustering Enhanced Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 104
  8. 2024Timer-XL: Long-Context Transformers for Unified Time Series Forecastingcited by 83
  9. 2024xPatch: Dual-Stream Time Series Forecasting with Exponential Seasonal-Trend Decompositioncited by 35
  10. 2025Temporal Query Network for Efficient Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 29
  11. 2024Generalizing Weather Forecast to Fine-grained Temporal Scales via Physics-AI Hybrid Modelingcited by 23
  12. 2023Weather2K: A Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Benchmark Dataset for Meteorological Forecasting Based on Real-Time Observation Data from Ground Weather Stationscited by 18
4 more
  1. 2024On the Integration of Spatial-Temporal Knowledge: A Lightweight Approach to Atmospheric Time Series Forecastingcited by 7
  2. 2024EasyST: A Simple Framework for Spatio-Temporal Predictioncited by 6
  3. 2025S2Transformer: Scalable Structured Transformers for Global Station Weather Forecastingcited by 2
  4. 2026StationPDE: Station-Oriented Surface PDE Learning for Multi-Station Multivariate Weather Forecastingcited by 1

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