Measuring the Microtask Eligibility Gap: When Is an Off-the-Shelf SLM Enough for an Agent Harness?

Agent harnesses increasingly want to run small language models (SLMs) on the microtasks around a frontier large language model (LLM) planner: auto-approving shell commands, writing memory, selecting tools, ranking past turns. We ask whether off-the-shelf SLMs meet practitioner-defined thresholds and, when they fail, why, and whether quantization changes the answer. We build a benchmark of 4 such microtasks with fixed prompts and automatic metrics, each with a pre-specified threshold τ anchored to a cheap non-LLM baseline and a CI-aware eligibility rule (a configuration passes only if its confidence bound clears τ). Sweeping Qwen3 0.6/1.7/4/8B at their best (FP16, greedy, one frozen prompt, no tuning), we find an eligibility gap: 0 of 16 (4 tasks × 4 models) configurations pass (verified by checking the raw outputs and parser behavior). A logprob decision-threshold diagnostic (T1/T3/T4; T2 via a context-length/cascade probe) separates the failures into capability deficits and failures that can be addressed by changing the decoding threshold (4 regimes). Quantization to 4-bit (RTN/GPTQ/AWQ) does damage that depends on model size and moves no configuration into eligibility (certified on the reconstructable hard-label tasks T1/T3, diagnostic/windowed robustness on T2/T4), so the gap tracks model size more than precision; it replicates on Llama-3.x (12/12 ineligible) and is robust to the anchor choice (a τ-sweep) and to prompt wording (0/112 eligible across the original plus 3 neutral paraphrases per cell). The practical implication: place SLMs behind a baseline that meets the CI-backed threshold, and use the SLM only where the baseline fails to meet the threshold; e.g. a 4B re-ranker over a BM25 shortlist beats BM25 (+0.047 [0.020, 0.073], without itself certifying eligibility).