mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Does Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture Pretraining Help Time Series Forecasting?

arXiv 2609.31680 ↗First posted 16 Sep 2026cs.LG cs.AI stat.MLcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Joint-embedding predictive architectures (JEPA) have emerged as a promising self-supervised pretraining paradigm for time series, learning representations by predicting target embeddings in latent space rather than reconstructing raw signals. Yet evidence on their benefits remains mixed, and most studies test only a single backbone or a narrow set of architectures, leaving unclear whether JEPA pretraining is a reliable improvement or one that depends heavily on the downstream model. We address this gap through a large scale evaluation of one JEPA instantiation across nine backbones and eleven benchmarks spanning temporal and spatio-temporal forecasting, the most extensive cross architecture assessment of JEPA for time series to date. We find that the benefit of this instantiation varies sharply across backbones, producing consistent gains for some architectures and consistent degradation for others, even on the same dataset. This pattern holds across both task families, indicating the variability is a general property of this instantiation rather than a dataset specific artifact worth accounting for when choosing a backbone in practice.

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References · 17

  1. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
  2. 2023Self-Supervised Learning from Images with a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecturecited by 1,039
  3. 2022Transformers in Time Series: A Surveycited by 497
  4. 2021TS2Vec: Towards Universal Representation of Time Seriescited by 471
  5. 2025LeJEPA: Provable and Scalable Self-Supervised Learning Without the Heuristicscited by 254
  6. 2022Self-Supervised Contrastive Pre-Training For Time Series via Time-Frequency Consistencycited by 250
  7. 2022CoST: Contrastive Learning of Disentangled Seasonal-Trend Representations for Time Series Forecastingcited by 144
  8. 2023SimMTM: A Simple Pre-Training Framework for Masked Time-Series Modelingcited by 115
  9. 2023Self-Supervised Learning for Time Series Analysis: Taxonomy, Progress, and Prospectscited by 99
  10. 2022Transformers in Time-series Analysis: A Tutorialcited by 46
  11. 2025Joint Embeddings Go Temporalcited by 14
  12. 2024T-JEPA: A Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture for Trajectory Similarity Computationcited by 12
5 more
  1. 2024Time-Series JEPA for Predictive Remote Control under Capacity-Limited Networkscited by 9
  2. 2024LaT-PFN: A Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture for In-context Time-series Forecastingcited by 8
  3. 2025HiT-JEPA: A Hierarchical Self-supervised Trajectory Embedding Framework for Similarity Computationcited by 6
  4. 2026LeNEPA: No-Augmentation Next-Latent Prediction for Time-Series Representation Learningcited by 5
  5. 2026Is the reconstruction loss culprit? An attempt to outperform JEPAcited by 1

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