Bayesian Tensor Autoencoder with Physics-informed Predictive Prior for Multi-dimensional Time Series Anomaly Detection

Multi-dimensional time series, inherently tensorial, are common in practice. Despite great progress in time series anomaly detection, most existing methods are confined to uni-/multi-variate time series. When handling multi-dimensional time series using these methods, reshaping operations are required, which inevitably break the intrinsic correlations and thus lead to performance degradation. In uni-/multi-variate time series anomaly detection, AutoEncoders (AEs) are widely adopted and generally categorized into reconstruction-based and prediction-based AEs. The reconstruction-based AE utilizes the current observation for reconstruction, while the prediction-based AE utilizes the historical information to predict the current observation. Thus, the two AEs utilize different information. To bridge the gap between reconstruction-based and prediction-based AEs, so as to fully leverage the available information and thus further enhance performance, we propose a predictive prior and incorporate it into the reconstruction-based AE. It may not be very difficult to conceive this idea, but designing the predictive prior so that it can work for tensor anomaly detection is non-trivial. Specifically, to avoid breaking the intrinsic correlations within the multi-dimensional time series, we use the tensor AE as the backbone. To incorporate the predictive prior into the reconstruction-based AE, we propose a Bayesian fusion approach and our analysis reveals that this approach can enhance the modeling capability of the model for normal data. To mitigate the over-generalization problem of AE, we incorporate physical laws, i.e. tensor low-rank decomposition rules, into the neural networks in the predictive prior, leading to the Physics-informed Predictive Prior Tensor AE (PPPTAE) framework. Experimental results on real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.